Westone Information Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

002268 Stock   17.76  0.31  1.72%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Westone Information Industry on the next trading day is expected to be 17.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.56 and the sum of the absolute errors of 34.04. Westone Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Westone Information stock prices and determine the direction of Westone Information Industry's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Westone Information's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Westone Information's Total Assets are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Short and Long Term Debt Total is expected to grow to about 154.1 M, whereas Other Current Liabilities is forecasted to decline to about 10.7 M.
A naive forecasting model for Westone Information is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Westone Information Industry value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Westone Information Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 5th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Westone Information Industry on the next trading day is expected to be 17.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.56, mean absolute percentage error of 0.55, and the sum of the absolute errors of 34.04.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Westone Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Westone Information's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Westone Information Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Westone InformationWestone Information Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Westone Information Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Westone Information's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Westone Information's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 13.73 and 21.45, respectively. We have considered Westone Information's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
17.76
17.59
Expected Value
21.45
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Westone Information stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Westone Information stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.5132
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.558
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0332
SAESum of the absolute errors34.0385
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Westone Information Industry. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Westone Information. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Westone Information

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Westone Information. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.1918.0721.95
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.2717.1521.03
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
17.6918.0618.44
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.050.050.05
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Westone Information. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Westone Information's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Westone Information's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Westone Information.

Other Forecasting Options for Westone Information

For every potential investor in Westone, whether a beginner or expert, Westone Information's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Westone Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Westone. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Westone Information's price trends.

Westone Information Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Westone Information stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Westone Information could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Westone Information by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Westone Information Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Westone Information's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Westone Information's current price.

Westone Information Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Westone Information stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Westone Information shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Westone Information stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Westone Information Industry entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Westone Information Risk Indicators

The analysis of Westone Information's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Westone Information's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting westone stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Westone Stock

Westone Information financial ratios help investors to determine whether Westone Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Westone with respect to the benefits of owning Westone Information security.