Hyundai Engineering Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

000720 Stock   28,250  850.00  3.10%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Hyundai Engineering Construction on the next trading day is expected to be 28,025 with a mean absolute deviation of 531.25 and the sum of the absolute errors of 28,156. Hyundai Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Hyundai Engineering stock prices and determine the direction of Hyundai Engineering Construction's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Hyundai Engineering's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Hyundai Engineering is based on an artificially constructed time series of Hyundai Engineering daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Hyundai Engineering 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Hyundai Engineering Construction on the next trading day is expected to be 28,025 with a mean absolute deviation of 531.25, mean absolute percentage error of 450,881, and the sum of the absolute errors of 28,156.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Hyundai Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Hyundai Engineering's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Hyundai Engineering Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Hyundai EngineeringHyundai Engineering Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Hyundai Engineering Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Hyundai Engineering's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Hyundai Engineering's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 28,024 and 28,026, respectively. We have considered Hyundai Engineering's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
28,250
28,024
Downside
28,025
Expected Value
28,026
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Hyundai Engineering stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Hyundai Engineering stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.4264
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 269.2217
MADMean absolute deviation531.25
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0182
SAESum of the absolute errors28156.25
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Hyundai Engineering Construction 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Hyundai Engineering

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hyundai Engineering. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
28,24928,25028,251
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
22,88122,88231,075
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Hyundai Engineering. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Hyundai Engineering's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Hyundai Engineering's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Hyundai Engineering.

Other Forecasting Options for Hyundai Engineering

For every potential investor in Hyundai, whether a beginner or expert, Hyundai Engineering's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Hyundai Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Hyundai. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Hyundai Engineering's price trends.

Hyundai Engineering Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Hyundai Engineering stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Hyundai Engineering could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hyundai Engineering by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Hyundai Engineering Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Hyundai Engineering's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Hyundai Engineering's current price.

Hyundai Engineering Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Hyundai Engineering stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Hyundai Engineering shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Hyundai Engineering stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Hyundai Engineering Construction entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Hyundai Engineering Risk Indicators

The analysis of Hyundai Engineering's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Hyundai Engineering's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hyundai stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Hyundai Engineering

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Hyundai Engineering position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Hyundai Engineering will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Hyundai Stock

  0.84005935 Samsung ElectronicsPairCorr

Moving against Hyundai Stock

  0.66105560 KB Financial GroupPairCorr
  0.66032830 Samsung LifePairCorr
  0.63024110 Industrial BankPairCorr
  0.34316140 Woori Financial GroupPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Hyundai Engineering could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Hyundai Engineering when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Hyundai Engineering - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Hyundai Engineering Construction to buy it.
The correlation of Hyundai Engineering is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Hyundai Engineering moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Hyundai Engineering moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Hyundai Engineering can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Hyundai Stock

Hyundai Engineering financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hyundai Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hyundai with respect to the benefits of owning Hyundai Engineering security.