Direxion Shares Etf Volatility
| LMBO Etf | 29.87 0.27 0.91% |
Direxion Shares appears to be not too volatile, given 3 months investment horizon. Direxion Shares ETF secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.2, which denotes the etf had a 0.2% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By reviewing Direxion Shares' technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.91% is justified by implied risk. Please utilize Direxion Shares' Coefficient Of Variation of 590.63, mean deviation of 3.03, and Downside Deviation of 3.88 to check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. Key indicators related to Direxion Shares' volatility include:
90 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 90 Days Economic Sensitivity |
Direxion Shares Etf volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Direxion daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Direxion's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Direxion Shares volatility.
Direxion |
Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game with Direxion Shares. They may decide to buy additional shares of Direxion Shares at lower prices to lower the average cost per share, thereby improving their portfolio's performance when markets normalize.
Moving together with Direxion Etf
| 0.8 | SSO | ProShares Ultra SP500 | PairCorr |
| 0.93 | SPXL | Direxion Daily SP500 | PairCorr |
| 0.8 | QLD | ProShares Ultra QQQ | PairCorr |
| 0.93 | UPRO | ProShares UltraPro SP500 | PairCorr |
| 0.8 | TECL | Direxion Daily Technology | PairCorr |
| 0.71 | GUSH | Direxion Daily SP Potential Growth | PairCorr |
| 0.94 | FNGU | MicroSectors FANG Index | PairCorr |
Direxion Shares Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
Direxion Shares' beta coefficient measures the volatility of Direxion etf compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Direxion etf's returns against your selected market. In other words, Direxion Shares's beta of 4.15 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Direxion Shares etf can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Direxion Shares ETF shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Direxion Shares' etf risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Direxion Shares' etf price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Direxion Shares ETF Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Direxion Shares correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)Direxion Beta |
Direxion standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 4.46 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Direxion Shares's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Direxion Shares' daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in direxion etf tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Direxion Shares.
Direxion Shares ETF Etf Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Direxion Shares etf price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Direxion Shares' price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Direxion Shares' etf to predict their future moves. A etf that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A etf with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile etf is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Direxion Shares' volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of etf volatility measures Direxion Shares' fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Direxion Shares' future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the etf.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Direxion Shares' current market price. This means that the etf will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Direxion Shares' to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Direxion Shares ETF Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
Direxion Shares Projected Return Density Against Market
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the etf has the beta coefficient of 4.1497 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Direxion Shares will likely underperform.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Direxion Shares or Trading--Leveraged Equity sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Direxion Shares' price will be affected by overall etf market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Direxion etf's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Direxion Shares ETF has an alpha of 0.2307, implying that it can generate a 0.23 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives a Direxion Shares Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a etf's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.Direxion Shares Etf Risk Measures
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the coefficient of variation of Direxion Shares is 492.44. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 19.91 and standard deviation of 4.46. The mean deviation of Direxion Shares ETF is currently at 3.01. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.76
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.23 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 4.15 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.46 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.14 |
Direxion Shares Etf Return Volatility
Direxion Shares historical daily return volatility represents how much of Direxion Shares etf's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The ETF inherits 4.4626% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7502% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About Direxion Shares Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Direxion Shares or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Direxion Shares may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Direxion's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Direxion Shares and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Direxion Shares fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.3 ways to utilize Direxion Shares' volatility to invest better
Higher Direxion Shares' etf volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Direxion Shares ETF etf is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Direxion Shares ETF etf volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Direxion Shares ETF investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Direxion Shares' etf can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Direxion Shares' etf relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Direxion Shares Investment Opportunity
Direxion Shares ETF has a volatility of 4.46 and is 5.95 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 39 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Direxion Shares. You can use Direxion Shares ETF to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The etf experiences a moderate upward volatility. Check odds of Direxion Shares to be traded at 32.86 in 90 days.Poor diversification
The correlation between Direxion Shares ETF and DJI is 0.7 (i.e., Poor diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Direxion Shares ETF and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
Direxion Shares Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of Direxion Shares' secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Direxion Shares' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Direxion Shares etf's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1377 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1932 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 3.03 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.3 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 3.88 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 590.63 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.55 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential etfs, we recommend comparing similar etfs with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Direxion Shares Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
| Microsoft vs. Direxion Shares | ||
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| Visa vs. Direxion Shares | ||
| Alphabet vs. Direxion Shares | ||
| Salesforce vs. Direxion Shares | ||
| GM vs. Direxion Shares | ||
| Dupont De vs. Direxion Shares | ||
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Direxion Shares as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Direxion Shares' systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Direxion Shares' unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Direxion Shares ETF.
When determining whether Direxion Shares ETF offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Direxion Shares' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Direxion Shares Etf. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Direxion Shares Etf: Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Direxion Shares ETF. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics. You can also try the Commodity Directory module to find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges.
The market value of Direxion Shares ETF is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Direxion that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Direxion Shares' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Direxion Shares' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Direxion Shares' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Direxion Shares' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Direxion Shares' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Direxion Shares is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Direxion Shares' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.