Bosch Fren (Turkey) Volatility

BFREN Stock  TRY 691.50  14.50  2.05%   
Bosch Fren Sistemleri secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0238, which signifies that the company had a -0.0238% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Bosch Fren Sistemleri exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Bosch Fren's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.03), standard deviation of 2.61, and Mean Deviation of 1.75 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. Key indicators related to Bosch Fren's volatility include:
90 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
90 Days Economic Sensitivity
Bosch Fren Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Bosch daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Bosch's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Bosch Fren volatility.
  
Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Bosch Fren at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Bosch stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower their average cost per share, thereby improving the overall portfolio performance when market normalizes.

Bosch Fren Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Bosch Fren's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Bosch stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Bosch stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Bosch Fren's beta of -0.21 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Bosch Fren stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Bosch Fren Sistemleri exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 1.96 and kurtosis of 5.73. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Bosch Fren's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Bosch Fren's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Bosch Fren Sistemleri Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Bosch Fren correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)

Bosch Beta

    
  -0.21  
Bosch standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  2.59  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Bosch Fren's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Bosch Fren's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in bosch stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Bosch Fren.

Bosch Fren Sistemleri Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Bosch Fren stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Bosch Fren's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Bosch Fren's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Bosch Fren's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of stock volatility measures Bosch Fren's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Bosch Fren's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Bosch Fren's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Bosch Fren's to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Bosch Fren Sistemleri Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

Bosch Fren Projected Return Density Against Market

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bosch Fren Sistemleri has a beta of -0.2149 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Bosch Fren are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Bosch Fren Sistemleri is likely to outperform the market.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Bosch Fren or Auto Components sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Bosch Fren's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Bosch stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Bosch Fren Sistemleri has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Bosch Fren's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how bosch stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a Bosch Fren Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Bosch Fren Stock Risk Measures

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the coefficient of variation of Bosch Fren is -4206.97. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 6.71 and standard deviation of 2.59. The mean deviation of Bosch Fren Sistemleri is currently at 1.72. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.72
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.21
σ
Overall volatility
2.59
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

Bosch Fren Stock Return Volatility

Bosch Fren historical daily return volatility represents how much of Bosch Fren stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The firm accepts 2.5904% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7357% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

About Bosch Fren Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Bosch Fren or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Bosch Fren may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Bosch's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Bosch Fren and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Bosch Fren fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. manufactures and sells hydraulic brake systems for automotive and light commercial vehicles in Turkey. Bosch Fren Sistemleri Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. is a subsidiary of Robert Bosch GmbH. BOSCH FREN operates under Auto Parts classification in Turkey and is traded on Istanbul Stock Exchange.
Bosch Fren's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Bosch Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Bosch Fren's price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize Bosch Fren's volatility to invest better

Higher Bosch Fren's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Bosch Fren Sistemleri stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Bosch Fren Sistemleri stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Bosch Fren Sistemleri investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Bosch Fren's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Bosch Fren's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

Bosch Fren Investment Opportunity

Bosch Fren Sistemleri has a volatility of 2.59 and is 3.5 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 23 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Bosch Fren. You can use Bosch Fren Sistemleri to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences an unexpected downward movement. The market is reacting to new fundamentals. Check odds of Bosch Fren to be traded at 663.84 in 90 days.

Good diversification

The correlation between Bosch Fren Sistemleri and DJI is -0.06 (i.e., Good diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Bosch Fren Sistemleri and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Bosch Fren Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Bosch Fren's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Bosch Fren's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Bosch Fren stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Bosch Fren Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Bosch Fren as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Bosch Fren's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Bosch Fren's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Bosch Fren Sistemleri.

Complementary Tools for Bosch Stock analysis

When running Bosch Fren's price analysis, check to measure Bosch Fren's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bosch Fren is operating at the current time. Most of Bosch Fren's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bosch Fren's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bosch Fren's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bosch Fren to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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