Is Sailun Stock high risk? (CN:601058) - Macroaxis

Sailun Jinyu (China) Volatility

601058 Stock   14.08  0.04  0.28%   
At this point, Sailun Jinyu is not too volatile. Sailun Jinyu Group owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0215, which indicates the firm had a 0.0215% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Sailun Jinyu Group, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please validate Sailun Jinyu's Semi Deviation of 2.23, risk adjusted performance of 0.0283, and Coefficient Of Variation of 3613.11 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0487%. Key indicators related to Sailun Jinyu's volatility include:
90 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
90 Days Economic Sensitivity
Sailun Jinyu Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Sailun daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Sailun's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Sailun Jinyu volatility.
  
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Sailun Jinyu can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game as hey may decide to buy additional stocks of Sailun Jinyu at lower prices to lower their average cost per share. Similarly, when the prices of Sailun Jinyu's stock rise, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities.

Moving together with Sailun Stock

  0.69002432 Andon HealthPairCorr

Sailun Jinyu Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Sailun Jinyu's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Sailun stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Sailun stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Sailun Jinyu's beta of -0.15 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Sailun Jinyu stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Sailun Jinyu Group currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.01 and Jensen Alpha of 0.05. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Sailun Jinyu's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Sailun Jinyu's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Sailun Jinyu Group Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Sailun Jinyu correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)

Sailun Beta

    
  -0.15  
Sailun standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  2.26  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Sailun Jinyu's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Sailun Jinyu's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in sailun stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Sailun Jinyu.
100%

Sailun Jinyu Group Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Sailun Jinyu stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Sailun Jinyu's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Sailun Jinyu's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Sailun Jinyu's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of stock volatility measures Sailun Jinyu's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Sailun Jinyu's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Sailun Jinyu's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Sailun Jinyu's to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Sailun Jinyu Group Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15OctNovDecNov 12Nov 17Nov 22Nov 27DecDec 07Dec 12Dec 1714.014.214.414.614.815.015.2 20M40M60M80M 42.5K43K43.5K44K44.5K45K Show all
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Sailun Jinyu Group Volume Sailun Jinyu Group Closing Prices Dow Jones Industrial Closing Prices - Benchmark Sailun Jinyu Group Average Price

Sailun Jinyu Projected Return Density Against Market

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Sailun Jinyu Group has a beta of -0.1511 . This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Sailun Jinyu are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Sailun Jinyu Group is likely to outperform the market.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Sailun Jinyu or Automobile Components sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Sailun Jinyu's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Sailun stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Sailun Jinyu Group has an alpha of 0.0542, implying that it can generate a 0.0542 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Predicted Return Density   
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JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Sailun Jinyu Dow Jones Industrial
       Returns  
Sailun Jinyu's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how sailun stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a Sailun Jinyu Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Sailun Jinyu Stock Risk Measures

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the coefficient of variation of Sailun Jinyu is 4651.44. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 5.12 and standard deviation of 2.26. The mean deviation of Sailun Jinyu Group is currently at 1.67. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.79
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.15
σ
Overall volatility
2.26
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Sailun Jinyu Stock Return Volatility

Sailun Jinyu historical daily return volatility represents how much of Sailun Jinyu stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company accepts 2.2632% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.8045% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
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JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Equity Market
       Timeline  

About Sailun Jinyu Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Sailun Jinyu or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Sailun Jinyu may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Sailun's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Sailun Jinyu and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Sailun Jinyu fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.

3 ways to utilize Sailun Jinyu's volatility to invest better

Higher Sailun Jinyu's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Sailun Jinyu Group stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Sailun Jinyu Group stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Sailun Jinyu Group investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Sailun Jinyu's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Sailun Jinyu's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

Sailun Jinyu Investment Opportunity

Sailun Jinyu Group has a volatility of 2.26 and is 2.83 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 20 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Sailun Jinyu. You can use Sailun Jinyu Group to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences a normal downward trend and little activity. Check odds of Sailun Jinyu to be traded at 13.94 in 90 days.
SailunDowDiversified AwaySailunDowDiversified Away100%

Good diversification

The correlation between Sailun Jinyu Group and DJI is -0.05 (i.e., Good diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Sailun Jinyu Group and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Sailun Jinyu Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Sailun Jinyu's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sailun Jinyu's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Sailun Jinyu stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Sailun Jinyu Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Sailun Jinyu as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Sailun Jinyu's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Sailun Jinyu's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Sailun Jinyu Group.

Complementary Tools for Sailun Stock analysis

When running Sailun Jinyu's price analysis, check to measure Sailun Jinyu's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sailun Jinyu is operating at the current time. Most of Sailun Jinyu's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sailun Jinyu's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sailun Jinyu's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sailun Jinyu to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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