Ardagh Valuation

03969AAR1   61.23  0.00  0.00%   
Ardagh Packaging Finance shows a prevailing Real Value of USD53.31 per share. The current price of the entity is USD61.23. Our model approximates the value of Ardagh Packaging Finance from analyzing the entity technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. In general, investors favor taking in undervalued bonds and trading overvalued bonds since, at some point, bond prices and their ongoing real values will blend.
Overvalued
Today
61.23
Please note that Ardagh's price fluctuation is not too volatile at this time. Calculation of the real value of Ardagh Packaging Finance is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Ardagh's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since Ardagh is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Ardagh Bond. However, Ardagh's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  61.23 Real  53.31 Hype  61.23 Naive  54.09
The real value of Ardagh Bond, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of Ardagh Packaging Finance Corporate Bond, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on Ardagh's financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of Ardagh's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
53.31
Real Value
67.35
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Ardagh Packaging Finance helps investors to forecast how Ardagh bond's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Ardagh more accurately as focusing exclusively on Ardagh's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
34.1162.0589.99
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
54.0861.2368.38
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
46.9454.0961.25
Details
Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates Ardagh's worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in Ardagh and how it compares across the competition.

About Ardagh Valuation

The bond valuation mechanism determines Ardagh's current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Ardagh. We calculate exposure to Ardagh's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Ardagh's related companies.

8 Steps to conduct Ardagh's Valuation Analysis

Corporate Bond's valuation is the process of determining the worth of any corporate bond in monetary terms. It estimates Ardagh's potential worth based on factors such as financial performance, market conditions, growth prospects, and overall economic environment. The result of corporate bond valuation is a single number representing a Corporate Bond's current market value. This value can be used as a benchmark for various financial transactions such as mergers and acquisitions, initial public offerings (IPOs), or private equity investments. To conduct Ardagh's valuation analysis, follow these 8 steps:
  • Gather financial information: Obtain Ardagh's financial statements, including balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements.
  • Determine Ardagh's revenue streams: Identify Ardagh's primary sources of revenue, including products or services offered, target markets, and pricing strategies.
  • Analyze market data: Research Ardagh's industry and market trends, including the size of the market, growth rate, and competition.
  • Establish Ardagh's growth potential: Evaluate Ardagh's management, business model, and growth potential.
  • Determine Ardagh's financial performance: Analyze its financial statements to assess its historical performance and future potential.
  • Choose a valuation method: Consider the Corporate Bond's specific circumstances and choose an appropriate valuation method, such as the discounted cash flow (DCF) or comparable analysis method.
  • Calculate the value: Apply the chosen valuation method to the financial information and market data to calculate Ardagh's estimated value.
  • Review and adjust: Review the results and make necessary adjustments, considering any relevant factors that may have been missed or overlooked.
Note: This is a general outline, and different approaches and methods may be used depending on the type and size of the corporate bond being valued. We also recomment to seek professional assistance to ensure accuracy.

Ardagh Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
Sub Product Asset TypeCorporate Bond

Other Information on Investing in Ardagh Bond

Ardagh financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ardagh Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ardagh with respect to the benefits of owning Ardagh security.