Provident Agro Valuation

PALM Stock  IDR 394.00  4.00  1.01%   
At this time, the company appears to be overvalued. Provident Agro Tbk holds a recent Real Value of 373.4 per share. The prevailing price of the company is 394.0. Our model determines the value of Provident Agro Tbk from analyzing the company fundamentals such as Current Valuation of 4.07 T, shares owned by insiders of 65.30 %, and Return On Equity of 0.38 as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy.
Overvalued
Today
394.00
Please note that Provident Agro's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Provident Agro Tbk is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Provident Agro's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Provident Agro's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price of 394.00, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  394.0 Real  373.4 Hype  394.0 Naive  392.23
The intrinsic value of Provident Agro's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow or dividend analysis. That value may differ from its market price, which is determined by factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, headlines, and other external factors that may influence Provident Agro's stock price.
371.83
Downside
373.39
Real Value
433.40
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Provident Agro Tbk helps investors to forecast how Provident stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Provident Agro more accurately as focusing exclusively on Provident Agro's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
392.00396.00400.00
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
392.43394.00395.57
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
390.67392.23393.80
Details

Provident Agro Total Value Analysis

Provident Agro Tbk is at this time forecasted to have takeover price of 4.07 T with market capitalization of 4.95 T, debt of 0, and cash on hands of 38.99 B. Please note that takeover price may be misleading and is a subject to mistakes in financial statements. We encourage investors to thoroughly investigate all of the Provident Agro fundamentals before making investing decisions based on enterprise value of the company

Provident Agro Investor Information

About 65.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.82. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Provident Agro Tbk recorded earning per share (EPS) of 258.07. The entity last dividend was issued on the 21st of January 2022. Based on the analysis of Provident Agro's profitability, liquidity, and operating efficiency, Provident Agro Tbk is not in a good financial situation at the moment. It has a very high risk of going through financial straits in January.

Provident Agro Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Provident Agro has an asset utilization ratio of 5.4 percent. This suggests that the Company is making 0.054 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Provident Agro Tbk is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.

Provident Agro Ownership Allocation

Provident Agro owns a total of 7.08 Billion outstanding shares. Provident Agro holds majority of its outstanding shares owned by insiders. An insider is usually defined as a corporate executive, director, member of the board or institutional investor who own at least 10% of the company's outstanding shares. 65.3 pct. of Provident Agro Tbk outstanding shares that are owned by insiders implies they have been buying or selling the stock in recent months in anticipation of some upcoming event. Please note that no matter how many assets the company maintains, if the real value of the company is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

Provident Agro Profitability Analysis

The company reported the revenue of 316.69 B. Net Income was 2.01 T with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 160.04 B.

About Provident Agro Valuation

We use absolute and relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Provident Agro Tbk. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Provident Agro Tbk based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Provident Agro's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Provident Agro's intrinsic value. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Provident Agro. We calculate exposure to Provident Agro's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Provident Agro's related companies.
PT Provident Agro Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the operation of palm oil plantations in Indonesia. The company was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia. Provident Agro operates under Farm Products classification in Indonesia and is traded on Jakarta Stock Exchange. It employs 742 people.

8 Steps to conduct Provident Agro's Valuation Analysis

Company's valuation is the process of determining the worth of any company in monetary terms. It estimates Provident Agro's potential worth based on factors such as financial performance, market conditions, growth prospects, and overall economic environment. The result of company valuation is a single number representing a Company's current market value. This value can be used as a benchmark for various financial transactions such as mergers and acquisitions, initial public offerings (IPOs), or private equity investments. To conduct Provident Agro's valuation analysis, follow these 8 steps:
  • Gather financial information: Obtain Provident Agro's financial statements, including balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements.
  • Determine Provident Agro's revenue streams: Identify Provident Agro's primary sources of revenue, including products or services offered, target markets, and pricing strategies.
  • Analyze market data: Research Provident Agro's industry and market trends, including the size of the market, growth rate, and competition.
  • Establish Provident Agro's growth potential: Evaluate Provident Agro's management, business model, and growth potential.
  • Determine Provident Agro's financial performance: Analyze its financial statements to assess its historical performance and future potential.
  • Choose a valuation method: Consider the Company's specific circumstances and choose an appropriate valuation method, such as the discounted cash flow (DCF) or comparable analysis method.
  • Calculate the value: Apply the chosen valuation method to the financial information and market data to calculate Provident Agro's estimated value.
  • Review and adjust: Review the results and make necessary adjustments, considering any relevant factors that may have been missed or overlooked.
Note: This is a general outline, and different approaches and methods may be used depending on the type and size of the company being valued. We also recomment to seek professional assistance to ensure accuracy.

Other Information on Investing in Provident Stock

Provident Agro financial ratios help investors to determine whether Provident Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Provident with respect to the benefits of owning Provident Agro security.