China Green Agriculture Valuation

CGADelisted Stock  USD 1.98  0.02  1.02%   
Based on Macroaxis valuation methodology, the firm appears to be overvalued. China Green Agriculture shows a prevailing Real Value of $1.79 per share. The current price of the firm is $1.98. Our model approximates the value of China Green Agriculture from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Profit Margin of (0.30) %, current valuation of (9.66 M), and Return On Equity of -0.25 as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy.
Overvalued
Today
1.98
Please note that China Green's price fluctuation is extremely dangerous at this time. Calculation of the real value of China Green Agriculture is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing China Green's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since China Green is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of China Stock. However, China Green's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  1.98 Real  1.79 Hype  2.3 Naive  2.01
The real value of China Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of China Green Agriculture Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on China Green's financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of China Green's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
1.79
Real Value
10.47
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of China Green Agriculture helps investors to forecast how China stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of China Green more accurately as focusing exclusively on China Green's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.661.892.12
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.122.3010.98
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.042.0110.69
Details

China Green Total Value Analysis

China Green Agriculture is currently forecasted to have company total value of (9.66 M) with market capitalization of 29 M, debt of 10.29 M, and cash on hands of 71.14 M. The negative valuation of China Green may imply that the market is not capable to price the future growth of the company or it is pricing it at zero value. It may also suggest that takeover valuation may not have captured all of the outstanding financial commitments of the company both on and off balance sheet. Investors should carefully check all of the China Green fundamentals.
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
(9.66 M)
29 M
10.29 M
71.14 M

China Green Investor Information

About 45.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.28. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. China Green Agriculture recorded a loss per share of 2.15. The entity last dividend was issued on the 29th of October 2014. The firm had 1:12 split on the 28th of June 2019. Based on the analysis of China Green's profitability, liquidity, and operating efficiency, China Green Agriculture is not in a good financial situation at this time. It has a very high probability of going through financial hardship in December.

China Green Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. China Green has an asset utilization ratio of 58.71 percent. This suggests that the Company is making $0.59 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that China Green Agriculture is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.

China Green Ownership Allocation

The market capitalization of China Green Agriculture is $29 Million. China Green Agriculture retains significant amount of outstanding shares owned by insiders. An insider is usually defined as a CEO, other corporate executive, director, or institutional investor who own at least 10% of the company's outstanding shares. Note, that even with negative profits, if the true value of the firm is larger than the current market value, you may still be able to generate positive returns on investment in this company.

China Green Profitability Analysis

The company reported the last year's revenue of 95.85 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (28.41 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 21.92 M.
Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates China Green's worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in China Green and how it compares across the competition.

About China Green Valuation

The delisted stock valuation mechanism determines China Green's current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of China Green. We calculate exposure to China Green's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of China Green's related companies.
China Green Agriculture, Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, production, and sale of various fertilizers and agricultural products in the Peoples Republic of China. China Green Agriculture, Inc. was incorporated in 1987 and is based in Xian, the Peoples Republic of China. China Green operates under Agricultural Inputs classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange.

China Green Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding13.9 M
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in China Green Agriculture. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.
You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .

Other Consideration for investing in China Stock

If you are still planning to invest in China Green Agriculture check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the China Green's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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