Macroaxis Stories

Is there a reason to exit Overseas (NYSE:OSG) and trade Enbridge?

April 7, 2021  By
Overseas Shipholding Revenue Per Employee is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Revenue Per Employee was at 448,797. The current year Average Assets is expected to grow to about 1.4 B, whereas Working Capital is forecasted to decline to (96.1 M). The fundamental objective of this short story is to break down our forecasting of Overseas for shareholders. We will try to forecast Overseas Shipholding outlook for May.
Published over a year ago
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Reviewed by Gabriel Shpitalnik

Overseas Shipholding is OVERVALUED at 1.92 per share with modest projections ahead. About 24.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. Insiders ownership of Overseas Shipholding refers to the amount of Overseas Shipholding equity owned by Overseas officers, directors, relatives of the leadership team, or anyone who has access to private information before it's made available to the public. Check out our latest analysis of Overseas, including its current ownership diagnostics.
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Overseas Shipholding. Regardless of method or technology, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Predictive Modules for Overseas Shipholding

Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Overseas Shipholding's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.

How important is Overseas Shipholding's Liquidity

Overseas Shipholding financial leverage refers to using borrowed capital as a funding source to finance Overseas Shipholding Group ongoing operations. It is usually used to expand the firm's asset base and generate returns on borrowed capital. Overseas Shipholding financial leverage is typically calculated by taking the company's all interest-bearing debt and dividing it by total capital. So the higher the debt-to-capital ratio (i.e., financial leverage), the riskier the company. Financial leverage can amplify the potential profits to Overseas Shipholding's owners, but it also increases the potential losses and risk of financial distress, including bankruptcy, if the firm cannot cover its debt costs. The degree of Overseas Shipholding's financial leverage can be measured in several ways, including by ratios such as the debt-to-equity ratio (total debt / total equity), equity multiplier (total assets / total equity), or the debt ratio (total debt / total assets). Please check the breakdown between Overseas Shipholding's total debt and its cash.

How is Overseas allocating its cash?

To perform a cash flow analysis of Overseas Shipholding, investors first need to understand how to read the cash flow statement. A cash flow statement shows the amount of cash Overseas Shipholding is receiving and how much cash it distributes out in a given period. The Overseas Shipholding cash flow statement breaks down these inflows and outflows into different buckets, including operating activities, investing activities, and financing activities.

Another Deeper Perspective

Overseas Shipholding Group shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. We advise investors to inspect Overseas Shipholding Group further and ensure that all market timing and asset allocation strategies are consistent with the estimation of Overseas Shipholding future alpha. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Overseas Shipholding's stock risk against market volatility during both bullying and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Overseas Shipholding's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Margin Breakdown

Profit Margin
6.14
Operating Margin
23.1
EBITDA Margin
Operating Margin6.14
EBITDA Margin23.1
Gross Margin27.51
Profit Margin2.37

Another setback for Overseas Shipholding shareholders

Overseas Shipholding latest skewness ascents over 0.71. Overseas Shipholding Group shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. We advise investors to inspect Overseas Shipholding Group further and ensure that all market timing and asset allocation strategies are consistent with the estimation of Overseas Shipholding future alpha. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Overseas Shipholding's stock risk against market volatility during both bullying and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Overseas Shipholding's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Our Takeaway on Overseas Shipholding Investment

Although some other firms under the oil & gas midstream industry are still a bit expensive, Overseas Shipholding may offer a potential longer-term growth to shareholders. To summarize, as of the 7th of April 2021, our research shows that Overseas Shipholding is a rather very risky investment opportunity with a average probability of distress in the next two years. From a slightly different view, the entity currently appears to be overvalued. Our primary 30 days buy-hold-sell advice on the firm is Strong Sell.

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Editorial Staff

Raphi Shpitalnik is a Junior Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board. Raphael is a young entrepreneur who joined Macroaxis on a part-time basis at the beginning of the pandemic and eventually acquired a real taste for investing and fintech. He likes to analyze different equity instruments across a wide range of industries, focusing primarily on consumer products, sports, fintech, cannabis, and AI. View Profile
This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Raphi Shpitalnik do not own shares of Overseas Shipholding Group. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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