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Should you quit Klx Energy (NASDAQ:KLXE) after the latest volatility surge?

September 9, 2021  By
Klx Energy is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 6.7242% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 60 days horizon. While some risk-loving traders are indifferent towards current market volatility, it is reasonable to digest the risk of investing in Klx Energy Services. What exactly are Klx Energy shareholders getting in October?
Published over a year ago
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Reviewed by Raphi Shpitalnik

The company currently holds 249.9 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 7.79, indicating Klx Energy may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Klx Energy Services has a current ratio of 1.55, which is within standard range for the sector.
The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 2.2129, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Let's try to break down what Klx Energy's beta means in this case. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Klx Energy will likely underperform. Even though it is essential to pay attention to Klx Energy Services price patterns, it is always good to be careful when utilizing equity historical price patterns. Our philosophy towards estimating any stock's future performance is to check both, its past performance charts as well as the business as a whole, including all available technical indicators. Klx Energy exposes twenty-eight different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate its performance. Klx Energy Services has an expected return of -0.54%. Please be advised to verify Klx Energy Services downside variance, as well as the relationship between the accumulation distribution and market facilitation index to decide if Klx Energy Services performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Volatility is a rate at which the price of KLX Energy or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of KLX Energy may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to KLX's beta indicator, it measures the risk of KLX Energy and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of KLX Energy fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility. Please read more on our technical analysis page.

How important is KLX Energy's Liquidity

KLX Energy financial leverage refers to using borrowed capital as a funding source to finance KLX Energy Services ongoing operations. It is usually used to expand the firm's asset base and generate returns on borrowed capital. KLX Energy financial leverage is typically calculated by taking the company's all interest-bearing debt and dividing it by total capital. So the higher the debt-to-capital ratio (i.e., financial leverage), the riskier the company. Financial leverage can amplify the potential profits to KLX Energy's owners, but it also increases the potential losses and risk of financial distress, including bankruptcy, if the firm cannot cover its debt costs. The degree of KLX Energy's financial leverage can be measured in several ways, including by ratios such as the debt-to-equity ratio (total debt / total equity), equity multiplier (total assets / total equity), or the debt ratio (total debt / total assets). Please check the breakdown between KLX Energy's total debt and its cash.

How does KLX utilize its cash?

At present, KLX Energy's Stock Based Compensation is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. . To perform a cash flow analysis of KLX Energy, investors first need to understand how to read the cash flow statement. A cash flow statement shows the amount of cash KLX Energy is receiving and how much cash it distributes out in a given period. The KLX Energy cash flow statement breaks down these inflows and outflows into different buckets, including operating activities, investing activities, and financing activities.

KLX Energy Gross Profit

KLX Energy Gross Profit growth is one of the most critical measures in evaluating the company. The Gross Profit growth rate is calculated simply by comparing KLX Energy previous period's values with its current period's values. Each time period you're measuring should be of equal lengths the increase or decrease, in a company's Gross Profit between two periods. Here we show KLX Energy Gross Profit growth over the last 10 years. Please check KLX Energy's gross profit and other fundamental indicators for more details.

KLX Energy Volatility Drivers

KLX Energy unsystematic risk is unique to KLX Energy Services and usually not directly affected by the market or economic environment. An example of unsystematic risk is the possibility of poor earnings or a layoff due to coronavirus. One may mitigate nonsystematic risk by buying different securities in the same industry or by buying in different sectors. For example, if you have a position in KLX Energy you can also buy RPC Inc. You can also mitigate this risk by investing in the energy sector as well as in companies having nothing to do with it. This type of risk is also called diversifiable risk and can be understood from analyzing KLX Energy important indicators over time. Here we run a correlation analysis between relevant fundamental ratios over at least ten year period to find a relationship in the way they react to changes in KLX Energy income statement and balance sheet. Here are more details about KLX volatility.
0.83-0.890.47
0.83-0.960.88
-0.89-0.96-0.77
0.470.88-0.77
Click cells to compare fundamentals

Details

The big decline in price over the last few months for Klx Energy Servicesmay raise some interest from shareholders. The stock closed today at a share price of 6.12 on 23,251 in trading volume. The company executives failed to add value to investors and positioning the firm supply of money to exploit market volatility in August. However, diversifying your holdings with Klx Energy or any similar stocks can still protect your portfolios during high-volatility market scenarios. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 90 days investing horizon is currently 6.72. The very high volatility is mostly attributed to the latest market swings and not very good earnings reports from some of the Klx Energy Services partners.
 2018 2019 2020 2021 (projected)
Current Assets308.3 M228.5 M150.7 M173.57 M
Total Assets672.8 M623.4 M362.7 M438.42 M

Will Klx Energy latest surge continue?

The information ratio is down to -0.15 as of today. Klx Energy Services is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Investors should scrutinize Klx Energy Services independently to ensure intended market timing strategies are aligned with expectations about Klx Energy volatility. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Klx Energy's stock risk against market volatility during both bullying and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Klx Energy's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Our Final Perspective on Klx Energy

Although few other entities under the oil & gas equipment & services industry are still a bit expensive, Klx Energy may offer a potential longer-term growth to shareholders. In closing, as of the 9th of September 2021, we believe that at this point, Klx Energy is relatively risky with average probability of distress within the next 2 years. From a slightly different point of view, the entity appears to be undervalued. Our final 90 days 'Buy-Sell' recommendation on the firm is Cautious Hold.

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Editorial Staff

Vlad Skutelnik is a Macroaxis Contributor. Vlad covers stocks, funds, cryptocurrencies, and ETFs that are traded in North America, focusing primarily on fundamentals, valuation and market volatility. He has many years of experience in fintech, predictive investment analytics, and risk management. View Profile
This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Vlad Skutelnik do not own shares of KLX Energy Services. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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