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Are Ironnet (NYSE:IRNT) private investors starting to hold back?

April 6, 2022  By
The essential rationale behind this perspective is to break down our current position on Ironnet for private investors considering to short it. We will break down why Ironnet private investors may still consider a stake in the business.
Published over a year ago
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Reviewed by Ellen Johnson

On a scale of 0 to 100, Ironnet holds a performance score of 3. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 2.1825, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Let's try to break down what Ironnet's beta means in this case. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Ironnet will likely underperform. Although it is vital to follow Ironnet current price history, it is good to be conservative about what you can do with the information regarding equity current price movements. The philosophy towards determining future performance of any stock is to evaluate the business as a whole together with its past performance, including all available fundamental and technical indicators. By evaluating Ironnet technical indicators, you can presently evaluate if the expected return of 0.39% will be sustainable into the future. Please utilizes Ironnet value at risk, as well as the relationship between the kurtosis and price action indicator to make a quick decision on whether Ironnet current trending patterns will revert.
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ironnet. Regardless of method or technology, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Predictive Modules for Ironnet


Watch out for price decline

Please consider monitoring Ironnet on a daily basis if you are holding a position in it. Ironnet is trading at a penny-stock level, and the possibility of delisting is much higher compared to other delisted stocks. However, just because the stock is trading under one dollar, does not mean it will be marked for deletion. Most exchanges require public instruments, such as Ironnet stock to be traded above the $1 level to remain listed. If Ironnet stock price falls below $1 for 30 consecutive trading days, the exchange can delist it. Once the company reaches this point, they will be sent an initial price violation notice directly from an exchange.

How important is Ironnet's Liquidity

Ironnet financial leverage refers to using borrowed capital as a funding source to finance Ironnet ongoing operations. It is usually used to expand the firm's asset base and generate returns on borrowed capital. Ironnet financial leverage is typically calculated by taking the company's all interest-bearing debt and dividing it by total capital. So the higher the debt-to-capital ratio (i.e., financial leverage), the riskier the company. Financial leverage can amplify the potential profits to Ironnet's owners, but it also increases the potential losses and risk of financial distress, including bankruptcy, if the firm cannot cover its debt costs. The degree of Ironnet's financial leverage can be measured in several ways, including by ratios such as the debt-to-equity ratio (total debt / total equity), equity multiplier (total assets / total equity), or the debt ratio (total debt / total assets). Please check the breakdown between Ironnet's total debt and its cash.

How is Ironnet allocating its cash?

To perform a cash flow analysis of Ironnet, investors first need to understand how to read the cash flow statement. A cash flow statement shows the amount of cash Ironnet is receiving and how much cash it distributes out in a given period. The Ironnet cash flow statement breaks down these inflows and outflows into different buckets, including operating activities, investing activities, and financing activities.

Breaking it down a bit more

The newest gain in Ironnet short term price appreciation may raise some interest from private investors. The stock closed today at a share price of 3.72 on 1,136,700 in trading volume. The company directors and management have successfully maneuvered the firm at convenient times to take advantage of all market conditions in March. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 90 days investing horizon is currently 8.71. The very high volatility is mostly attributed to the latest market swings and not very good earnings reports from some of the Ironnet partners.

Returns Breakdown

Return on Assets(1.35)
Return on Equity0.87
Return Capital(10.63)
Return on Sales(2.35)

Ironnet has 57% chance to stay above $3.79 in the coming weeks

Semi deviation is down to 6.97. It may call for a possible volatility drop. Ironnet is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Investors should scrutinize Ironnet independently to ensure intended market timing strategies are aligned with expectations about Ironnet volatility. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Ironnet's stock risk against market volatility during both bullying and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Ironnet's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Ironnet Implied Volatility

Ironnet's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Ironnet stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Ironnet's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Ironnet stock will not fluctuate a lot when Ironnet's options are near their expiration.

Our Conclusion on Ironnet

Whereas some other companies under the software—infrastructure industry are still a bit expensive, Ironnet may offer a potential longer-term growth to private investors. With a relatively neutral outlook on the newest economy, it is better to hold off any trading of Ironnet as the current risk-reward utility is not appealing enough. Please use our equity advice module to run different scenarios to ensure your current risk level and investment horizon are fully reflective of your current investing preferences in regards to Ironnet.

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Editorial Staff

Vlad Skutelnik is a Macroaxis Contributor. Vlad covers stocks, funds, cryptocurrencies, and ETFs that are traded in North America, focusing primarily on fundamentals, valuation and market volatility. He has many years of experience in fintech, predictive investment analytics, and risk management. View Profile
This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Vlad Skutelnik do not own shares of Ironnet. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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