Medifast Inc Stock Analysis

MED Stock  USD 19.67  0.23  1.18%   
MEDIFAST INC is undervalued with Real Value of 34.13 and Target Price of 81.0. The main objective of MEDIFAST INC stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what MEDIFAST INC is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of MEDIFAST INC's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The MEDIFAST INC stock is traded in the USA on New York Stock Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and MEDIFAST INC's ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
  
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MEDIFAST Stock Analysis Notes

About 86.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.03. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. MEDIFAST INC has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.95. The entity last dividend was issued on the 18th of September 2023. The firm had 1:20 split on the February 14, 2011. Medifast, Inc., through its subsidiaries, manufactures and distributes weight loss, weight management, healthy living products, and other consumable health and nutritional products in the United States and the Asia-Pacific. The company was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Baltimore, Maryland. Medifast operates under Personal Services classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 984 people. To find out more about MEDIFAST INC contact Michael MacDonald at 410 581 8042 or learn more at https://medifastinc.com.

MEDIFAST INC Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. MEDIFAST INC's investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding MEDIFAST INC or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
MEDIFAST INC is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 86.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from kalkinemedia.com: Medifast Earnings Forecast and Stock Performance Outlook

MEDIFAST INC Upcoming and Recent Events

20th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
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6th of May 2024
Next Financial Report
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31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
20th of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View

MEDIFAST Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact MEDIFAST INC's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2009-03-12
2008-12-310.080.07-0.0112 
2007-11-08
2007-09-300.080.07-0.0112 
2005-11-09
2005-09-300.040.050.0125 
View All Earnings Estimates

MEDIFAST INC Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

MEDIFAST INC's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates MEDIFAST INC's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of MEDIFAST INC's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect MEDIFAST INC's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

MEDIFAST INC Thematic Classifications

In addition to having MEDIFAST INC stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Food Products Idea
Food Products
USA Equities from Food Products industry as classified by Fama & French

MEDIFAST Stock Institutional Investors

Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
American Century Companies Inc2024-09-30
236.1 K
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2024-09-30
232.9 K
State Street Corp2024-06-30
228.5 K
Federated Hermes Inc2024-09-30
216.9 K
Susquehanna International Group, Llp2024-06-30
215.3 K
D. E. Shaw & Co Lp2024-09-30
208.8 K
Two Sigma Investments Llc2024-09-30
208.2 K
Man Group Plc2024-09-30
205.9 K
Qube Research & Technologies2024-06-30
177.2 K
Renaissance Technologies Corp2024-09-30
M
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
829.2 K
Note, although MEDIFAST INC's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

MEDIFAST Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 215.15 M.

MEDIFAST Profitablity

The company has Net Profit Margin of 0.01 %, which implies that it may need a different competitive strategy as even a very small decline in it revenue may erase profits and result in a net loss. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of 0.02 %, which entails that for every 100 dollars of revenue, it generated $0.02 of operating income.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.32  0.34 
Return On Capital Employed 0.58  0.61 
Return On Assets 0.32  0.34 
Return On Equity 0.49  0.84 

Management Efficiency

MEDIFAST INC has Return on Asset of 0.0477 % which means that on every $100 spent on assets, it made $0.0477 of profit. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows a return on shareholders' equity (ROE) of 0.0366 %, implying that it generated $0.0366 on every 100 dollars invested. MEDIFAST INC's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well MEDIFAST INC manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. The current year's Return On Tangible Assets is expected to grow to 0.34. The current year's Return On Capital Employed is expected to grow to 0.61. At present, MEDIFAST INC's Non Current Assets Total are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Non Currrent Assets Other is expected to grow to about 15.4 M, whereas Deferred Long Term Asset Charges is forecasted to decline to about 2.4 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 18.51  19.44 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 18.51  19.44 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 4.73  6.96 
Price Book Value Ratio 3.63  4.14 
Enterprise Value Multiple 4.73  6.96 
Price Fair Value 3.63  4.14 
Enterprise Value397.2 M417.1 M
MEDIFAST INC benefits from a proactive management team that anticipates market trends. Our analysis delves into how this proactive stance influences financial metrics and stock valuation.
Operating Margin
0.015
Profit Margin
0.0109
Beta
1.158
Return On Assets
0.0477
Return On Equity
0.0366

Technical Drivers

As of the 30th of November, MEDIFAST INC secures the risk adjusted performance of 0.036, and Mean Deviation of 2.05. Compared to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check possible technical drivers of MEDIFAST INC, as well as the relationship between them. Please verify MEDIFAST INC coefficient of variation, maximum drawdown, skewness, as well as the relationship between the information ratio and downside variance to decide if MEDIFAST INC is priced fairly, providing market reflects its recent price of 19.67 per share. Given that MEDIFAST INC has jensen alpha of 0.0763, we recommend you to check MEDIFAST INC's last-minute market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself in the future.

MEDIFAST INC Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was nine with a total number of output elements of fifty-two. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. MEDIFAST INC middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for MEDIFAST INC. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

MEDIFAST INC Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific MEDIFAST INC insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on MEDIFAST INC's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases MEDIFAST INC insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

MEDIFAST INC Outstanding Bonds

MEDIFAST INC issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. MEDIFAST INC uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most MEDIFAST bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when MEDIFAST INC has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

MEDIFAST INC Predictive Daily Indicators

MEDIFAST INC intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of MEDIFAST INC stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

MEDIFAST INC Corporate Filings

13th of November 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify
8K
4th of November 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
31st of October 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify
F4
17th of September 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
8K
5th of August 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
13A
10th of July 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
13A
8th of July 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
13A
1st of July 2024
The form used by investors holding more than 5% of a company's stock, to report their beneficial ownership pursuant to Rule 13d-1 or Rule 13d-2 under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934
ViewVerify

MEDIFAST INC Forecast Models

MEDIFAST INC's time-series forecasting models are one of many MEDIFAST INC's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary MEDIFAST INC's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About MEDIFAST Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how MEDIFAST INC prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling MEDIFAST shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as MEDIFAST INC. By using and applying MEDIFAST Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying MEDIFAST entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 0.12  0.13 
Operating Profit Margin 0.12  0.12 
Net Profit Margin 0.09  0.10 
Gross Profit Margin 0.72  0.54 

Current MEDIFAST Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. MEDIFAST analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. MEDIFAST analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
81.0Hold2Odds
MEDIFAST INC current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most MEDIFAST analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand MEDIFAST stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of MEDIFAST INC, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to MEDIFAST conference calls.
MEDIFAST Analyst Advice Details

MEDIFAST Stock Analysis Indicators

MEDIFAST INC stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how MEDIFAST INC stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading MEDIFAST INC shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying MEDIFAST INC stock analysis, traders can identify MEDIFAST INC position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow87.7 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding10.9 M
Total Stockholder Equity201.5 M
Tax Provision31.5 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.953
Property Plant And Equipment Net67.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments150 M
Cash94.4 M
Accounts Payable39.2 M
Net Debt-72.4 M
50 Day M A18.4876
Total Current Liabilities92.3 M
Other Operating Expenses945.7 M
Non Current Assets Total85.9 M
Non Currrent Assets Other14.7 M
Stock Based Compensation8.2 M

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When running MEDIFAST INC's price analysis, check to measure MEDIFAST INC's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MEDIFAST INC is operating at the current time. Most of MEDIFAST INC's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MEDIFAST INC's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MEDIFAST INC's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MEDIFAST INC to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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