Wintrust Financial Stock Price Prediction

WTFC Stock  USD 132.36  0.70  0.53%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Wintrust Financial's share price is above 70 at the present time. This entails that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Wintrust, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

72

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Wintrust Financial's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Wintrust Financial, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Wintrust Financial's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.02)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
2.5
EPS Estimate Current Year
10.116
EPS Estimate Next Year
10.2343
Wall Street Target Price
137.8182
Using Wintrust Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Wintrust Financial from the perspective of Wintrust Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Wintrust Financial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Wintrust because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Wintrust Financial after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 132.36  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Wintrust Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Wintrust Stock refer to our How to Trade Wintrust Stock guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
119.12149.57151.89
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
127.27129.59131.91
Details
11 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
84.2192.54102.72
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
2.482.502.59
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Wintrust Financial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Wintrust Financial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Wintrust Financial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Wintrust Financial.

Wintrust Financial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Wintrust Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Wintrust Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Wintrust Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Wintrust Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Wintrust Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Wintrust Financial's historical news coverage. Wintrust Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 130.04 and 134.68, respectively. We have considered Wintrust Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
132.36
130.04
Downside
132.36
After-hype Price
134.68
Upside
Wintrust Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Wintrust Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.

Wintrust Financial Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Wintrust Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Wintrust Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Wintrust Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.43 
2.32
  0.24 
  0.15 
10 Events / Month
15 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
132.36
132.36
0.00 
421.82  
Notes

Wintrust Financial Hype Timeline

Wintrust Financial is at this time traded for 132.36. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.24, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.15. Wintrust is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.43%. %. The volatility of related hype on Wintrust Financial is about 652.07%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 132.21. About 93.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.48. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Wintrust Financial recorded earning per share (EPS) of 9.54. The entity last dividend was issued on the 7th of November 2024. The firm had 3:2 split on the 15th of March 2002. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Wintrust Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Wintrust Stock refer to our How to Trade Wintrust Stock guide.

Wintrust Financial Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Wintrust Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Wintrust Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Wintrust Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Wintrust Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
BMRCBank of Marin(0.78)8 per month 1.68  0.07  4.26 (3.64) 19.54 
THFFFirst Financial 0.15 8 per month 1.43  0.07  2.56 (3.11) 17.69 
TCBKTriCo Bancshares(1.90)6 per month 1.86  0.05  3.32 (3.55) 18.20 
CTBICommunity Trust Bancorp(0.43)7 per month 1.54  0.09  3.17 (2.42) 21.98 
VABKVirginia National Bankshares(0.50)4 per month 1.37 (0) 3.46 (2.57) 8.93 
FCCOFirst Community 1.72 9 per month 0.96  0.11  3.05 (2.20) 10.76 
CWBCCommunity West Bancshares(0.08)8 per month 1.14  0.01  2.53 (2.16) 9.14 
FFNWFirst Financial Northwest 0.07 5 per month 0.00 (0.17) 1.36 (1.20) 4.32 
FNWBFirst Northwest Bancorp(0.25)9 per month 1.76 (0.05) 3.17 (2.82) 14.21 
HFBLHome Federal Bancorp 0.00 4 per month 0.00 (0.06) 3.75 (4.31) 17.43 
CBSHCommerce Bancshares(0.31)10 per month 1.02  0.07  2.63 (1.81) 13.35 
BOKFBOK Financial(0.66)12 per month 1.43  0.05  2.66 (2.18) 15.50 
TCBITexas Capital Bancshares 1.00 11 per month 1.18  0.12  2.88 (2.57) 13.69 
UBSIUnited Bankshares(0.30)11 per month 1.16  0.04  3.17 (2.10) 15.76 
PBProsperity Bancshares 0.63 11 per month 0.99  0.04  2.50 (2.25) 11.99 
TCBIOTexas Capital Bancshares 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.12) 1.92 (2.11) 6.09 
IBTXIndependent Bank Group(2.22)10 per month 1.56  0.07  3.09 (3.04) 17.98 
UMBFUMB Financial(2.66)10 per month 1.20  0.09  3.28 (2.39) 16.36 
FFINFirst Financial Bankshares(0.24)9 per month 1.24  0.05  2.82 (2.03) 17.03 

Wintrust Financial Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Wintrust price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Wintrust using various technical indicators. When you analyze Wintrust charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Wintrust Financial Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Wintrust Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Wintrust Financial, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Wintrust Financial based on analysis of Wintrust Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Wintrust Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Wintrust Financial's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.01910.02160.02220.0233
Price To Sales Ratio3.032.562.633.31

Story Coverage note for Wintrust Financial

The number of cover stories for Wintrust Financial depends on current market conditions and Wintrust Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Wintrust Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Wintrust Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Wintrust Financial Short Properties

Wintrust Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Wintrust Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Wintrust Financial often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Wintrust Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Wintrust Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding62.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments3.9 B

Complementary Tools for Wintrust Stock analysis

When running Wintrust Financial's price analysis, check to measure Wintrust Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Wintrust Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Wintrust Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Wintrust Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Wintrust Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Wintrust Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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