Washington Federal Stock Price Prediction

WAFD Stock  USD 36.58  0.53  1.43%   
At the present time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Washington Federal's share price is at 58. This entails that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Washington Federal, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

58

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Washington Federal's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Washington Federal and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Washington Federal's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Washington Federal, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Washington Federal's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.01)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.69
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.48
EPS Estimate Next Year
3.03
Wall Street Target Price
38.5
Using Washington Federal hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Washington Federal from the perspective of Washington Federal response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Washington Federal to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Washington because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Washington Federal after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 36.55  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Washington Federal Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Washington Stock refer to our How to Trade Washington Stock guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
30.4132.6840.24
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
34.2636.5338.80
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
26.6929.3332.56
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.520.650.71
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Washington Federal. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Washington Federal's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Washington Federal's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Washington Federal.

Washington Federal After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Washington Federal at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Washington Federal or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Washington Federal, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Washington Federal Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Washington Federal's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Washington Federal's historical news coverage. Washington Federal's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 34.28 and 38.82, respectively. We have considered Washington Federal's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
36.58
36.55
After-hype Price
38.82
Upside
Washington Federal is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Washington Federal is based on 3 months time horizon.

Washington Federal Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Washington Federal is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Washington Federal backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Washington Federal, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.04 
2.27
  0.03 
 0.00  
8 Events / Month
18 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
36.58
36.55
0.08 
360.32  
Notes

Washington Federal Hype Timeline

Washington Federal is at this time traded for 36.58. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Washington is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 36.55. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.08%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.04%. The volatility of related hype on Washington Federal is about 3645.26%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 36.58. About 80.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.1. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Washington Federal has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.67. The entity last dividend was issued on the 22nd of November 2024. The firm had 11:10 split on the 2nd of February 2005. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out Washington Federal Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Washington Stock refer to our How to Trade Washington Stock guide.

Washington Federal Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Washington Federal's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Washington Federal's future price movements. Getting to know how Washington Federal's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Washington Federal may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
FNWDFinward Bancorp 0.14 8 per month 0.75  0.05  2.48 (1.80) 12.55 
GSBCGreat Southern Bancorp(0.05)9 per month 1.85  0.01  3.41 (3.32) 19.09 
FMBHFirst Mid Illinois 0.04 8 per month 1.56 (0.01) 2.87 (2.64) 18.64 
FRAFFranklin Financial Services(0.12)10 per month 1.06  0.03  1.52 (1.16) 9.44 
CWBCCommunity West Bancshares(0.08)10 per month 1.12 (0.0005) 2.53 (2.16) 9.14 
PWODPenns Woods Bancorp 0.74 2 per month 1.20  0.21  3.95 (2.60) 10.20 
LBCLuther Burbank(0.15)1 per month 2.16 (0) 5.04 (3.88) 10.73 
SRCE1st Source(0.26)8 per month 1.54 (0.01) 2.87 (3.40) 15.84 
WSBFWaterstone Financial 0.24 9 per month 1.72 (0.04) 2.56 (2.67) 15.80 
SMBCSouthern Missouri Bancorp(0.83)7 per month 1.61  0.05  3.46 (3.04) 19.16 
IROQIF Bancorp 0.06 7 per month 1.66  0.09  3.61 (2.59) 14.12 
CBANColony Bankcorp 1.30 9 per month 1.04  0.08  2.34 (1.97) 16.22 
OPOFOld Point Financial 0.00 4 per month 1.01  0.11  3.20 (1.66) 6.43 
TCFCCommunity Financial Corp(0.21)8 per month 0.00 (0.20) 3.97 (2.77) 12.19 
SHBIShore Bancshares 0.18 7 per month 1.04  0.06  2.81 (2.80) 15.67 
WNEBWestern New England(0.17)6 per month 0.68 (0.04) 2.77 (1.35) 7.14 
ISTRInvestar Holding Corp(0.37)9 per month 1.17  0.12  3.41 (2.50) 17.09 
NFBKNorthfield Bancorp(0.15)7 per month 1.82  0.03  4.14 (2.85) 20.29 
BSRRSierra Bancorp 0.74 9 per month 2.31  0.01  3.75 (3.15) 26.66 
BSBKBogota Financial Corp 0.04 5 per month 2.03  0.02  3.97 (3.37) 13.89 
FNLCFirst Bancorp 0.19 6 per month 1.95 (0) 3.00 (2.81) 23.55 
THFFFirst Financial 0.09 6 per month 1.52  0.02  2.56 (3.11) 17.69 

Washington Federal Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Washington price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Washington using various technical indicators. When you analyze Washington charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Washington Federal Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Washington Federal stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Washington Federal, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Washington Federal based on analysis of Washington Federal hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Washington Federal's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Washington Federal's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.03890.04690.02870.0358
Price To Sales Ratio2.962.2542.6344.76

Story Coverage note for Washington Federal

The number of cover stories for Washington Federal depends on current market conditions and Washington Federal's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Washington Federal is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Washington Federal's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Washington Federal Short Properties

Washington Federal's future price predictability will typically decrease when Washington Federal's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Washington Federal often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Washington Federal's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Washington Federal's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding74.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments26 M

Complementary Tools for Washington Stock analysis

When running Washington Federal's price analysis, check to measure Washington Federal's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Washington Federal is operating at the current time. Most of Washington Federal's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Washington Federal's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Washington Federal's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Washington Federal to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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