Steel Connect Stock Price Prediction
| STCN Stock | USD 12.46 2.21 21.56% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
45
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.20) | Wall Street Target Price 22.5 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.124 |
Using Steel Connect hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Steel Connect from the perspective of Steel Connect response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Steel Connect to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Steel because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Steel Connect after-hype prediction price | USD 12.46 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Steel |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Steel Connect's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Steel Connect After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Steel Connect at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Steel Connect or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Steel Connect, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Steel Connect Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Steel Connect's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Steel Connect's historical news coverage. Steel Connect's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 8.45 and 16.47, respectively. We have considered Steel Connect's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Steel Connect is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Steel Connect is based on 3 months time horizon.
Steel Connect Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Steel Connect is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Steel Connect backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Steel Connect, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.29 | 4.01 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 5 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
12.46 | 12.46 | 0.00 |
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Steel Connect Hype Timeline
Steel Connect is at this time traded for 12.46. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.02. Steel is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.29%. %. The volatility of related hype on Steel Connect is about 6917.37%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.44. About 67.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.51. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Steel Connect last dividend was issued on the 15th of March 2011. The entity had 375:3500 split on the 22nd of June 2023. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 5 days. Check out Steel Connect Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Steel Connect Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Steel Connect's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Steel Connect's future price movements. Getting to know how Steel Connect's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Steel Connect may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Steel Connect Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Steel price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Steel using various technical indicators. When you analyze Steel charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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About Steel Connect Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Steel Connect stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Steel Connect, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Steel Connect based on analysis of Steel Connect hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Steel Connect's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Steel Connect's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0263 | 0.0348 | 0.0266 | 0.0253 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.4 | 0.32 | 0.46 | 0.44 |
Story Coverage note for Steel Connect
The number of cover stories for Steel Connect depends on current market conditions and Steel Connect's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Steel Connect is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Steel Connect's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Steel Connect Short Properties
Steel Connect's future price predictability will typically decrease when Steel Connect's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Steel Connect often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Steel Connect's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Steel Connect's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 28.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 248.6 M |
Check out Steel Connect Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Steel Stock, please use our How to Invest in Steel Connect guide.You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.
Is Data Processing & Outsourced Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Steel Connect. If investors know Steel will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Steel Connect listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.20) | Earnings Share 3.11 | Revenue Per Share 28.001 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.124 | Return On Assets 0.0104 |
The market value of Steel Connect is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Steel that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Steel Connect's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Steel Connect's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Steel Connect's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Steel Connect's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Steel Connect's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Steel Connect is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Steel Connect's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.