Scienjoy Holding Corp Stock Price Prediction
| SJ Stock | USD 0.93 0.01 1.06% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
59
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.59) | Wall Street Target Price 42.673 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.032 |
Using Scienjoy Holding hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Scienjoy Holding Corp from the perspective of Scienjoy Holding response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Scienjoy Holding to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Scienjoy because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Scienjoy Holding after-hype prediction price | USD 0.93 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Scienjoy |
Scienjoy Holding After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Scienjoy Holding at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Scienjoy Holding or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Scienjoy Holding, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Scienjoy Holding Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Scienjoy Holding's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Scienjoy Holding's historical news coverage. Scienjoy Holding's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.05 and 6.51, respectively. We have considered Scienjoy Holding's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Scienjoy Holding is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Scienjoy Holding Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Scienjoy Holding Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Scienjoy Holding is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Scienjoy Holding backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Scienjoy Holding, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.10 | 5.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.93 | 0.93 | 0.00 |
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Scienjoy Holding Hype Timeline
As of November 30, 2024 Scienjoy Holding Corp is listed for 0.93. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Scienjoy is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.1%. %. The volatility of related hype on Scienjoy Holding is about 31000.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.93. About 61.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.23. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Scienjoy Holding Corp recorded a loss per share of 0.24. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Scienjoy Holding Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Scienjoy Holding Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Scienjoy Holding's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Scienjoy Holding's future price movements. Getting to know how Scienjoy Holding's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Scienjoy Holding may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ADTN | ADTRAN Inc | 0.31 | 11 per month | 1.57 | 0.17 | 6.31 | (3.34) | 22.03 | |
| BDC | Belden Inc | (1.96) | 9 per month | 1.66 | 0.04 | 2.85 | (2.64) | 13.52 | |
| ADCT | ADC Therapeutics SA | 0.03 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 7.08 | (7.81) | 22.87 | |
| CMTL | Comtech Telecommunications Corp | 0.08 | 8 per month | 6.59 | 0.03 | 12.63 | (8.43) | 40.77 | |
| CTS | CTS Corporation | 1.63 | 9 per month | 1.67 | 0.04 | 2.78 | (2.79) | 15.09 |
Scienjoy Holding Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Scienjoy price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Scienjoy using various technical indicators. When you analyze Scienjoy charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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About Scienjoy Holding Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Scienjoy Holding stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Scienjoy Holding Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Scienjoy Holding based on analysis of Scienjoy Holding hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Scienjoy Holding's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Scienjoy Holding's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0878 | 0.14 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.68 | 1.12 |
Story Coverage note for Scienjoy Holding
The number of cover stories for Scienjoy Holding depends on current market conditions and Scienjoy Holding's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Scienjoy Holding is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Scienjoy Holding's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Scienjoy Holding Short Properties
Scienjoy Holding's future price predictability will typically decrease when Scienjoy Holding's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Scienjoy Holding Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Scienjoy Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Scienjoy Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 40.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 237 M |
Check out Scienjoy Holding Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the FinTech Suite module to use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities.
Is Movies & Entertainment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Scienjoy Holding. If investors know Scienjoy will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Scienjoy Holding listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.59) | Earnings Share (0.24) | Revenue Per Share 36.299 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.032 | Return On Assets 0.0194 |
The market value of Scienjoy Holding Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Scienjoy that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Scienjoy Holding's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Scienjoy Holding's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Scienjoy Holding's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Scienjoy Holding's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Scienjoy Holding's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Scienjoy Holding is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Scienjoy Holding's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.