Cref Inflation Linked Bond Fund Price Prediction

QCILIX Fund  USD 85.37  0.16  0.19%   
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Cref Inflation-linked's share price is approaching 34 indicating that the fund is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Cref Inflation-linked, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

34

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Cref Inflation-linked's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Cref Inflation Linked Bond, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Cref Inflation-linked hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Cref Inflation Linked Bond from the perspective of Cref Inflation-linked response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Cref Inflation-linked to buy its fund at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Cref because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell funds at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Cref Inflation-linked after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 85.37  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Cref Inflation-linked Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
85.2585.4485.63
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
85.3285.5185.69
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
84.6985.0585.41
Details

Cref Inflation-linked Estimiated After-Hype Price Prediction Volatility

As far as predicting the price of Cref Inflation-linked at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Cref Inflation-linked or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Fund prices, such as prices of Cref Inflation-linked, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Cref Inflation-linked Fund Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Fund such as Cref Inflation-linked is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cref Inflation-linked backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Cref Inflation-linked, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.19
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
85.37
85.37
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Cref Inflation-linked Hype Timeline

Cref Inflation Linked is at this time traded for 85.37. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Cref is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Cref Inflation-linked is about 204.3%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 85.37. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week.
Check out Cref Inflation-linked Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Cref Inflation-linked Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Cref Inflation-linked's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Cref Inflation-linked's future price movements. Getting to know how Cref Inflation-linked's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Cref Inflation-linked may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
VTSAXVanguard Total Stock 0.52 1 per month 0.66 (0.01) 1.10 (1.31) 4.11 
VFIAXVanguard 500 Index(1.77)1 per month 0.66 (0.03) 1.17 (1.31) 3.84 
VTSMXVanguard Total Stock 0.00 0 per month 0.66 (0.01) 1.10 (1.31) 4.11 
VITSXVanguard Total Stock 0.00 0 per month 0.66 (0.01) 1.10 (1.31) 4.11 
VSTSXVanguard Total Stock 0.00 0 per month 0.66 (0.01) 1.10 (1.31) 4.11 
VSMPXVanguard Total Stock 0.00 0 per month 0.66 (0.01) 1.10 (1.30) 4.11 
VFINXVanguard 500 Index 0.00 0 per month 0.66 (0.03) 1.17 (1.31) 3.84 
VFFSXVanguard 500 Index 0.00 0 per month 0.65 (0.03) 1.17 (1.31) 3.84 
VGTSXVanguard Total International 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.21) 1.15 (1.56) 4.09 
VTIAXVanguard Total International 0.32 1 per month 0.00 (0.21) 1.15 (1.59) 4.11 

Cref Inflation-linked Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Cref price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cref using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cref charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Cref Inflation-linked Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Cref Inflation-linked stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Cref Inflation Linked Bond, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Cref Inflation-linked based on analysis of Cref Inflation-linked hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Cref Inflation-linked's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Cref Inflation-linked's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Cref Inflation-linked

The number of cover stories for Cref Inflation-linked depends on current market conditions and Cref Inflation-linked's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Cref Inflation-linked is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Cref Inflation-linked's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Other Information on Investing in Cref Fund

Cref Inflation-linked financial ratios help investors to determine whether Cref Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Cref with respect to the benefits of owning Cref Inflation-linked security.
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