Payfare Stock Price Prediction
| PAY Stock | CAD 3.96 0.02 0.50% |
Momentum 58
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Payfare hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Payfare from the perspective of Payfare response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Payfare to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Payfare because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Payfare after-hype prediction price | CAD 4.02 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Payfare |
Payfare After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Payfare at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Payfare or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Payfare, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Payfare Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Payfare's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Payfare's historical news coverage. Payfare's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.20 and 14.42, respectively. We have considered Payfare's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Payfare is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Payfare is based on 3 months time horizon.
Payfare Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Payfare is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Payfare backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Payfare, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.51 | 10.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
3.96 | 4.02 | 1.52 |
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Payfare Hype Timeline
Payfare is at this time traded for 3.96on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Payfare is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 4.02 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price boost on the next news is estimated to be 1.52%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 1.51%. The volatility of related hype on Payfare is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.96. The company reported the revenue of 186.04 M. Net Income was 13.12 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 42.16 M. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be within a week. Check out Payfare Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Payfare Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Payfare's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Payfare's future price movements. Getting to know how Payfare's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Payfare may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CTS | Converge Technology Solutions | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.54 | 0.14 | 3.98 | (3.79) | 53.81 | |
| THNC | Thinkific Labs | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.56 | 0.08 | 4.38 | (2.68) | 11.11 | |
| MOGO | Mogo Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 3.87 | (4.74) | 11.47 |
Payfare Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Payfare price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Payfare using various technical indicators. When you analyze Payfare charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
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| Statistic Functions | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About Payfare Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Payfare stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Payfare, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Payfare based on analysis of Payfare hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Payfare's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Payfare's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Payfare
The number of cover stories for Payfare depends on current market conditions and Payfare's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Payfare is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Payfare's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Payfare Short Properties
Payfare's future price predictability will typically decrease when Payfare's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Payfare often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Payfare's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Payfare's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 48.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 78.2 M |
Other Information on Investing in Payfare Stock
Payfare financial ratios help investors to determine whether Payfare Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Payfare with respect to the benefits of owning Payfare security.