Ovintiv Stock Price Prediction

OVV Stock  CAD 64.00  0.16  0.25%   
The value of relative strength index of Ovintiv's the stock price is about 67. This indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of today. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Ovintiv, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

67

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Ovintiv's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Ovintiv, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Ovintiv's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.306
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
2.3
EPS Estimate Current Year
5.5686
EPS Estimate Next Year
5.9348
Wall Street Target Price
51.422
Using Ovintiv hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ovintiv from the perspective of Ovintiv response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Ovintiv to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Ovintiv because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Ovintiv after-hype prediction price

    
  CAD 64.18  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Ovintiv Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Ovintiv Stock, please use our How to Invest in Ovintiv guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
48.8151.0970.40
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
60.3462.6264.90
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.081.391.92
Details

Ovintiv After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Ovintiv at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Ovintiv or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Ovintiv, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Ovintiv Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Ovintiv's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Ovintiv's historical news coverage. Ovintiv's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 61.90 and 66.46, respectively. We have considered Ovintiv's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
64.00
64.18
After-hype Price
66.46
Upside
Ovintiv is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ovintiv is based on 3 months time horizon.

Ovintiv Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Ovintiv is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ovintiv backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ovintiv, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.25 
2.28
  0.18 
  0.04 
2 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
64.00
64.18
0.28 
325.71  
Notes

Ovintiv Hype Timeline

Ovintiv is now traded for 64.00on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.18, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. Ovintiv is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 64.18 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is estimated to be 0.28%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.25%. The volatility of related hype on Ovintiv is about 1381.82%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 64.04. The company reported the revenue of 10.88 B. Net Income was 2.08 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 7.28 B. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in a few days.
Check out Ovintiv Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Ovintiv Stock, please use our How to Invest in Ovintiv guide.

Ovintiv Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Ovintiv's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Ovintiv's future price movements. Getting to know how Ovintiv's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Ovintiv may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
FMCForum Energy Metals 0.01 1 per month 0.00 (0.03) 10.00 (9.09) 30.00 
XHBiShares Canadian HYBrid 0.01 3 per month 0.05 (0.38) 0.51 (0.31) 1.07 
EDGFBrompton European Dividend 0.00 1 per month 1.13 (0.08) 2.20 (1.86) 6.42 
SOLRSolar Alliance Energy(0.01)1 per month 0.00 (0.01) 25.00 (20.00) 50.00 
0P0000OXA6PHN Multi Style All Cap 0.00 0 per month 0.45  0.04  1.15 (1.18) 4.34 
HFPGlobal X Active 1.60 4 per month 0.37 (0.21) 1.09 (0.97) 2.38 
ALA-PAAltagas Cum Red 0.00 0 per month 0.65 (0.12) 1.15 (1.45) 3.73 
ECOEcoSynthetix 0.05 2 per month 1.90 (0.05) 3.84 (3.00) 11.63 
FTN-PAFinancial 15 Split 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.19) 0.48 (0.19) 1.70 
ROMJRubicon Organics(0.01)1 per month 0.00 (0.12) 7.50 (6.82) 27.78 

Ovintiv Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Ovintiv price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ovintiv using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ovintiv charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Ovintiv Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Ovintiv stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Ovintiv, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ovintiv based on analysis of Ovintiv hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Ovintiv's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Ovintiv's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.01390.01860.02690.0343
Price To Sales Ratio1.011.031.071.2

Story Coverage note for Ovintiv

The number of cover stories for Ovintiv depends on current market conditions and Ovintiv's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Ovintiv is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Ovintiv's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Ovintiv Short Properties

Ovintiv's future price predictability will typically decrease when Ovintiv's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Ovintiv often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Ovintiv's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ovintiv's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding263.9 M
Cash And Short Term InvestmentsM
When determining whether Ovintiv is a strong investment it is important to analyze Ovintiv's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Ovintiv's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Ovintiv Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Ovintiv Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Ovintiv Stock, please use our How to Invest in Ovintiv guide.
You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ovintiv's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ovintiv is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ovintiv's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.