NCC (India) Price Prediction
| NCC Stock | 309.70 6.35 2.09% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
35
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.114 | EPS Estimate Current Year 10.9 | EPS Estimate Next Year 16.1 | Wall Street Target Price 363.18 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 3.96 |
Using NCC hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of NCC Limited from the perspective of NCC response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in NCC to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying NCC because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
NCC after-hype prediction price | INR 309.39 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
NCC |
NCC After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of NCC at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in NCC or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of NCC, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
NCC Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting NCC's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on NCC's historical news coverage. NCC's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 307.32 and 311.46, respectively. We have considered NCC's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
NCC is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of NCC Limited is based on 3 months time horizon.
NCC Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as NCC is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading NCC backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with NCC, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 2.07 | 0.31 | 1.39 | 2 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
309.70 | 309.39 | 0.10 |
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NCC Hype Timeline
NCC Limited is now traded for 309.70on National Stock Exchange of India of India. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.31, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -1.39. NCC is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 309.39. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 26.71%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.1%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.04%. The volatility of related hype on NCC is about 5.94%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 308.31. About 36.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of NCC was now reported as 109.62. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 12.53. NCC Limited last dividend was issued on the 30th of August 2024. The entity had 2:1 split on the 20th of September 2006. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out NCC Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.NCC Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to NCC's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict NCC's future price movements. Getting to know how NCC's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how NCC may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ORISSAMINE | The Orissa Minerals | (342.65) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 4.29 | (4.12) | 11.83 | |
| MALUPAPER | Malu Paper Mills | (1.67) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.84 | (4.66) | 26.10 | |
| KINGFA | Kingfa Science Technology | (3.75) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 4.55 | (3.65) | 9.31 | |
| RICOAUTO | Rico Auto Industries | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 3.36 | (4.52) | 11.81 | |
| GATECHDVR | GACM Technologies Limited | (0.09) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.35) | 4.08 | (5.56) | 12.29 | |
| COSMOFIRST | COSMO FIRST LIMITED | (12.20) | 1 per month | 1.90 | (0.06) | 3.00 | (3.76) | 9.76 | |
| DELTAMAGNT | Delta Manufacturing Limited | 1.07 | 1 per month | 2.10 | 0.03 | 9.79 | (3.72) | 19.73 | |
| TBZ | Tribhovandas Bhimji Zaveri | (3.80) | 3 per month | 3.44 | 0.03 | 10.00 | (5.61) | 27.64 | |
| PARAGMILK | Parag Milk Foods | 13.63 | 4 per month | 2.51 | (0.0008) | 5.30 | (4.75) | 12.83 | |
| HEUBACHIND | Heubach Colorants India | 1.10 | 2 per month | 3.20 | (0.02) | 6.95 | (3.00) | 28.86 |
NCC Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine NCC price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for NCC using various technical indicators. When you analyze NCC charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About NCC Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of NCC stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as NCC Limited, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of NCC based on analysis of NCC hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to NCC's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to NCC's related companies.
Story Coverage note for NCC
The number of cover stories for NCC depends on current market conditions and NCC's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that NCC is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about NCC's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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NCC Short Properties
NCC's future price predictability will typically decrease when NCC's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of NCC Limited often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential NCC's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NCC's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 627.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6.3 B |
Complementary Tools for NCC Stock analysis
When running NCC's price analysis, check to measure NCC's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NCC is operating at the current time. Most of NCC's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NCC's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NCC's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NCC to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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