MW Trade (Poland) Price Prediction
| MWT Stock | 3.30 0.16 4.62% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
27
Oversold | Overbought |
Using MW Trade hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of MW Trade SA from the perspective of MW Trade response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in MW Trade to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying MWT because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
MW Trade after-hype prediction price | PLN 3.3 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
MWT |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of MW Trade's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
MW Trade After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of MW Trade at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in MW Trade or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of MW Trade, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
MW Trade Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting MW Trade's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on MW Trade's historical news coverage. MW Trade's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.38 and 6.22, respectively. We have considered MW Trade's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
MW Trade is relatively risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of MW Trade SA is based on 3 months time horizon.
MW Trade Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as MW Trade is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading MW Trade backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with MW Trade, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.62 | 2.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
3.30 | 3.30 | 0.00 |
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MW Trade Hype Timeline
MW Trade SA is now traded for 3.30on Warsaw Stock Exchange of Poland. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. MWT is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.62%. %. The volatility of related hype on MW Trade is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.30. About 74.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.4. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. MW Trade SA recorded a loss per share of 0.07. The entity last dividend was issued on the 21st of May 2020. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be uncertain. Check out MW Trade Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.MW Trade Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to MW Trade's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict MW Trade's future price movements. Getting to know how MW Trade's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how MW Trade may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ABS | Asseco Business Solutions | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 2.56 | (3.05) | 8.16 | |
| DEG | Detalion Games SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.27) | 4.84 | (8.42) | 24.52 | |
| ASE | Asseco South Eastern | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.02 | (2.83) | 6.86 | |
| CFI | CFI Holding SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 6.25 | (4.76) | 35.00 | |
| HMI | HM Inwest SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.42 | 0.09 | 6.40 | (3.35) | 25.80 | |
| MOV | Movie Games SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.33) | 1.99 | (4.79) | 11.88 | |
| ETFBM40TR | Beta mWIG40TR Portfelowy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 1.38 | (1.70) | 4.48 |
MW Trade Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine MWT price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for MWT using various technical indicators. When you analyze MWT charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About MW Trade Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of MW Trade stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as MW Trade SA, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of MW Trade based on analysis of MW Trade hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to MW Trade's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to MW Trade's related companies.
Story Coverage note for MW Trade
The number of cover stories for MW Trade depends on current market conditions and MW Trade's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that MW Trade is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about MW Trade's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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MW Trade Short Properties
MW Trade's future price predictability will typically decrease when MW Trade's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of MW Trade SA often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential MW Trade's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MW Trade's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 8.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 56.5 M |
Additional Tools for MWT Stock Analysis
When running MW Trade's price analysis, check to measure MW Trade's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MW Trade is operating at the current time. Most of MW Trade's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MW Trade's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MW Trade's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MW Trade to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.