Manila Electric (Philippines) Price Prediction
| MER Stock | 490.00 8.00 1.66% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
51
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Manila Electric hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Manila Electric Co from the perspective of Manila Electric response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Manila Electric to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Manila because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Manila Electric after-hype prediction price | PHP 490.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Manila |
Manila Electric After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Manila Electric at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Manila Electric or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Manila Electric, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Manila Electric Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Manila Electric's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Manila Electric's historical news coverage. Manila Electric's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 487.74 and 492.26, respectively. We have considered Manila Electric's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Manila Electric is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Manila Electric is based on 3 months time horizon.
Manila Electric Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Manila Electric is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Manila Electric backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Manila Electric, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.31 | 2.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
490.00 | 490.00 | 0.00 |
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Manila Electric Hype Timeline
Manila Electric is now traded for 490.00on Philippine Stock Exchange of Philippines. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Manila is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.31%. %. The volatility of related hype on Manila Electric is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 490.00. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 16.08. Manila Electric had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out Manila Electric Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Manila Electric Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Manila Electric's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Manila Electric's future price movements. Getting to know how Manila Electric's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Manila Electric may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CNVRG | Converge Information Communications | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.07 | (0) | 4.71 | (2.92) | 11.77 | |
| SLF | Sun Life Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.60 | 0.08 | 7.14 | (6.25) | 19.03 | |
| MBT | Metropolitan Bank Trust | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.62 | (0.05) | 3.53 | (3.02) | 9.57 | |
| PBB | Philippine Business Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.45 | 0.06 | 3.04 | (2.41) | 9.76 | |
| PX | Philex Mining Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.86 | (0.01) | 4.59 | (3.64) | 10.75 | |
| AT | Atlas Consolidated Mining | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.69 | (0.04) | 3.02 | (3.09) | 10.90 | |
| APX | Apex Mining Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 2.38 | (3.50) | 9.21 | |
| SCC | Semirara Mining Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.73 | 0.04 | 2.04 | (1.50) | 6.12 |
Manila Electric Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Manila price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Manila using various technical indicators. When you analyze Manila charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Manila Electric Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Manila Electric stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Manila Electric Co, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Manila Electric based on analysis of Manila Electric hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Manila Electric's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Manila Electric's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Manila Electric
The number of cover stories for Manila Electric depends on current market conditions and Manila Electric's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Manila Electric is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Manila Electric's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Manila Electric Short Properties
Manila Electric's future price predictability will typically decrease when Manila Electric's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Manila Electric Co often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Manila Electric's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Manila Electric's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.1 B | |
| Dividends Paid | 13.7 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 72.8 B |
Complementary Tools for Manila Stock analysis
When running Manila Electric's price analysis, check to measure Manila Electric's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Manila Electric is operating at the current time. Most of Manila Electric's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Manila Electric's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Manila Electric's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Manila Electric to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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