Luxurban Hotels Stock Price Prediction
| LUXH Stock | 0.66 0.06 8.33% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
28
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.01) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.37) | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.2 | Wall Street Target Price 7 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.10) |
Using LuxUrban Hotels hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of LuxUrban Hotels from the perspective of LuxUrban Hotels response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in LuxUrban Hotels to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying LuxUrban because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
LuxUrban Hotels after-hype prediction price | USD 0.68 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
LuxUrban |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of LuxUrban Hotels' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
LuxUrban Hotels After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of LuxUrban Hotels at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in LuxUrban Hotels or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of LuxUrban Hotels, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
LuxUrban Hotels Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting LuxUrban Hotels' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on LuxUrban Hotels' historical news coverage. LuxUrban Hotels' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.03 and 10.46, respectively. We have considered LuxUrban Hotels' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
LuxUrban Hotels is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of LuxUrban Hotels is based on 3 months time horizon.
LuxUrban Hotels Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as LuxUrban Hotels is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading LuxUrban Hotels backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with LuxUrban Hotels, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
2.71 | 9.85 | 0.27 | 0.58 | 11 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.66 | 0.68 | 2.84 |
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LuxUrban Hotels Hype Timeline
LuxUrban Hotels is now traded for 0.66. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.27, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.58. LuxUrban is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.68 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 2.84%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -2.71%. The volatility of related hype on LuxUrban Hotels is about 4581.4%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.24. LuxUrban Hotels currently holds 253.24 M in liabilities. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 11 days. Check out LuxUrban Hotels Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.LuxUrban Hotels Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to LuxUrban Hotels' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict LuxUrban Hotels' future price movements. Getting to know how LuxUrban Hotels' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how LuxUrban Hotels may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GHG | GreenTree Hospitality Group | (0.17) | 6 per month | 2.42 | 0.03 | 6.69 | (4.81) | 20.48 | |
| IHG | InterContinental Hotels Group | 1.33 | 8 per month | 0.62 | 0.21 | 2.01 | (1.22) | 7.04 | |
| ATAT | Atour Lifestyle Holdings | (2.15) | 8 per month | 2.13 | 0.15 | 5.35 | (3.75) | 19.65 | |
| HTHT | Huazhu Group | 0.64 | 7 per month | 2.26 | 0.04 | 6.69 | (3.62) | 24.08 | |
| INTG | The Intergroup | 0.68 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 3.63 | (4.79) | 12.40 | |
| SHCO | Soho House Co | 0.07 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 4.57 | (5.38) | 15.36 | |
| H | Hyatt Hotels | 1.31 | 8 per month | 2.04 | 0.05 | 2.80 | (3.06) | 11.34 | |
| CHH | Choice Hotels International | 0.01 | 9 per month | 1.05 | 0.12 | 2.47 | (2.62) | 10.39 |
LuxUrban Hotels Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine LuxUrban price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for LuxUrban using various technical indicators. When you analyze LuxUrban charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About LuxUrban Hotels Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of LuxUrban Hotels stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as LuxUrban Hotels, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of LuxUrban Hotels based on analysis of LuxUrban Hotels hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to LuxUrban Hotels's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to LuxUrban Hotels's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 1.83E-4 | 1.1E-5 | 1.2E-5 | Price To Sales Ratio | 320.73 | 75.19 | 140.57 |
Story Coverage note for LuxUrban Hotels
The number of cover stories for LuxUrban Hotels depends on current market conditions and LuxUrban Hotels' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that LuxUrban Hotels is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about LuxUrban Hotels' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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LuxUrban Hotels Short Properties
LuxUrban Hotels' future price predictability will typically decrease when LuxUrban Hotels' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of LuxUrban Hotels often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential LuxUrban Hotels' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. LuxUrban Hotels' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 38.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 752.8 K |
Complementary Tools for LuxUrban Stock analysis
When running LuxUrban Hotels' price analysis, check to measure LuxUrban Hotels' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy LuxUrban Hotels is operating at the current time. Most of LuxUrban Hotels' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of LuxUrban Hotels' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move LuxUrban Hotels' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of LuxUrban Hotels to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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