Granite Real Estate Stock Price Prediction
| GRT-UN Stock | CAD 76.00 0.39 0.52% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
43
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.422 | Wall Street Target Price 90.9444 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.079 |
Using Granite Real hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Granite Real Estate from the perspective of Granite Real response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Granite Real to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Granite because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Granite Real after-hype prediction price | CAD 76.01 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Granite |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Granite Real's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Granite Real After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Granite Real at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Granite Real or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Granite Real, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Granite Real Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Granite Real's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Granite Real's historical news coverage. Granite Real's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 74.89 and 77.13, respectively. We have considered Granite Real's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Granite Real is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Granite Real Estate is based on 3 months time horizon.
Granite Real Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Granite Real is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Granite Real backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Granite Real, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 1.12 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 2 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
76.00 | 76.01 | 0.01 |
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Granite Real Hype Timeline
Granite Real Estate is currently traded for 76.00on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Granite is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 76.01 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is estimated to be 0.01%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.02%. The volatility of related hype on Granite Real is about 1600.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 76.00. The company reported the revenue of 521.25 M. Net Income was 138.5 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 380.36 M. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in a few days. Check out Granite Real Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Granite Real Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Granite Real's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Granite Real's future price movements. Getting to know how Granite Real's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Granite Real may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CAR-UN | Canadian Apartment Properties | (0.34) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.26) | 1.76 | (1.85) | 6.21 | |
| DIR-UN | Dream Industrial Real | (0.16) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 2.01 | (1.76) | 6.18 | |
| AP-UN | Allied Properties Real | 0.09 | 2 per month | 1.48 | (0.03) | 2.63 | (2.26) | 9.05 | |
| KMP-UN | Killam Apartment Real | (0.11) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 1.82 | (1.80) | 4.67 | |
| IIP-UN | InterRent Real Estate | 0.17 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.27) | 2.26 | (2.44) | 6.84 |
Granite Real Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Granite price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Granite using various technical indicators. When you analyze Granite charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Granite Real Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Granite Real stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Granite Real Estate, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Granite Real based on analysis of Granite Real hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Granite Real's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Granite Real's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0283 | 0.0449 | 0.0422 | 0.0325 | Price To Sales Ratio | 17.14 | 9.89 | 9.27 | 5.18 |
Story Coverage note for Granite Real
The number of cover stories for Granite Real depends on current market conditions and Granite Real's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Granite Real is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Granite Real's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Granite Real Short Properties
Granite Real's future price predictability will typically decrease when Granite Real's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Granite Real Estate often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Granite Real's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Granite Real's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 63.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 116.1 M |
Complementary Tools for Granite Stock analysis
When running Granite Real's price analysis, check to measure Granite Real's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Granite Real is operating at the current time. Most of Granite Real's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Granite Real's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Granite Real's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Granite Real to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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