Geely Automobile Holdings Stock Price Prediction
| GELYF Stock | USD 2.02 0.01 0.49% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
45
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Geely Automobile hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Geely Automobile Holdings from the perspective of Geely Automobile response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Geely Automobile to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Geely because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Geely Automobile after-hype prediction price | USD 2.02 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Geely |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Geely Automobile's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Geely Automobile After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Geely Automobile at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Geely Automobile or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Geely Automobile, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Geely Automobile Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Geely Automobile's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Geely Automobile's historical news coverage. Geely Automobile's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.10 and 6.48, respectively. We have considered Geely Automobile's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Geely Automobile is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Geely Automobile Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Geely Automobile Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Geely Automobile is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Geely Automobile backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Geely Automobile, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.98 | 4.46 | 0.00 | 0.94 | 0 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
2.02 | 2.02 | 0.00 |
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Geely Automobile Hype Timeline
Geely Automobile Holdings is currently traded for 2.02. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.94. Geely is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.98%. %. The volatility of related hype on Geely Automobile is about 466.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.96. About 43.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.62. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Geely Automobile Holdings has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.51. The entity last dividend was issued on the 6th of June 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be in a few days. Check out Geely Automobile Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Geely Automobile Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Geely Automobile's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Geely Automobile's future price movements. Getting to know how Geely Automobile's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Geely Automobile may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| VWAGY | Volkswagen AG 110 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 2.64 | (3.19) | 8.96 | |
| POAHF | Porsche Automobil Holding | 3.40 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 3.66 | (4.16) | 11.47 | |
| RACE | Ferrari NV | 3.40 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.56 | (2.17) | 10.98 | |
| BMWYY | Bayerische Motoren Werke | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.95 | (3.75) | 12.90 | |
| POAHY | Porsche Automobile Holding | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 2.27 | (3.61) | 10.40 | |
| STLA | Stellantis NV | (0.11) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 3.00 | (4.22) | 15.52 | |
| VLKPF | Volkswagen AG VZO | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 4.17 | (4.73) | 13.45 |
Geely Automobile Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Geely price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Geely using various technical indicators. When you analyze Geely charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Geely Automobile Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Geely Automobile stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Geely Automobile Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Geely Automobile based on analysis of Geely Automobile hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Geely Automobile's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Geely Automobile's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Geely Automobile
The number of cover stories for Geely Automobile depends on current market conditions and Geely Automobile's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Geely Automobile is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Geely Automobile's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Geely Automobile Short Properties
Geely Automobile's future price predictability will typically decrease when Geely Automobile's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Geely Automobile Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Geely Automobile's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Geely Automobile's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 10 B |
Complementary Tools for Geely Pink Sheet analysis
When running Geely Automobile's price analysis, check to measure Geely Automobile's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Geely Automobile is operating at the current time. Most of Geely Automobile's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Geely Automobile's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Geely Automobile's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Geely Automobile to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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