Eaton Vance Municipal Stock Price Prediction
| ETX Stock | USD 18.35 0.08 0.44% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
40
Oversold | Overbought |
Wall Street Target Price 0.32 |
Using Eaton Vance hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Eaton Vance Municipal from the perspective of Eaton Vance response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Eaton Vance to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Eaton because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Eaton Vance after-hype prediction price | USD 18.35 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Eaton |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Eaton Vance's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Eaton Vance After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Eaton Vance at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Eaton Vance or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Eaton Vance, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Eaton Vance Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Eaton Vance's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Eaton Vance's historical news coverage. Eaton Vance's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 17.92 and 18.78, respectively. We have considered Eaton Vance's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Eaton Vance is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Eaton Vance Municipal is based on 3 months time horizon.
Eaton Vance Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Eaton Vance is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Eaton Vance backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Eaton Vance, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 0.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
18.35 | 18.35 | 0.00 |
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Eaton Vance Hype Timeline
On the 29th of November Eaton Vance Municipal is traded for 18.35. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Eaton is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Eaton Vance is about 2873.68%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 18.35. About 21.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.98. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Eaton Vance Municipal last dividend was issued on the 20th of October 2023. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Eaton Vance Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Eaton Vance Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Eaton Vance's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Eaton Vance's future price movements. Getting to know how Eaton Vance's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Eaton Vance may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CXH | MFS Investment Grade | 0.02 | 5 per month | 0.40 | (0.19) | 0.86 | (0.74) | 2.10 | |
| CBH | CBH | (0.01) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.48) | 0.22 | (0.22) | 0.78 | |
| IHTA | Invesco High Income | 0.02 | 1 per month | 0.25 | (0.18) | 0.68 | (0.27) | 2.03 | |
| FMN | Federated Premier Municipal | (0.09) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 1.07 | (1.49) | 5.10 | |
| NXC | Nuveen California Select | (0.09) | 4 per month | 0.59 | (0.17) | 0.95 | (0.94) | 2.82 | |
| EOT | Eaton Vance National | (0.03) | 5 per month | 0.40 | (0.19) | 0.86 | (0.87) | 2.08 | |
| MHN | Blackrock Muniholdings Ny | (0.01) | 3 per month | 0.63 | (0.15) | 0.95 | (1.03) | 2.69 | |
| IHIT | IHIT | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.26) | 1.07 | (1.18) | 2.70 | |
| JHAA | Nuveen High Income | (0.03) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.49) | 0.33 | (0.22) | 0.96 | |
| MQY | Blackrock Muniyield Quality | (0.02) | 2 per month | 0.58 | (0.18) | 0.96 | (1.07) | 2.74 | |
| MQT | Blackrock Muniyield Quality | (0.03) | 4 per month | 0.58 | (0.16) | 0.94 | (0.92) | 2.73 | |
| MFM | MFS Municipal Income | 0.02 | 4 per month | 0.52 | (0.15) | 1.08 | (1.06) | 2.71 | |
| CXE | MFS High Income | 0.06 | 4 per month | 0.54 | (0.17) | 1.33 | (1.02) | 3.34 |
Eaton Vance Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Eaton price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Eaton using various technical indicators. When you analyze Eaton charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Eaton Vance Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Eaton Vance stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Eaton Vance Municipal, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Eaton Vance based on analysis of Eaton Vance hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Eaton Vance's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Eaton Vance's related companies. | 2021 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | PTB Ratio | 1.09 | 0.93 | 0.78 | Dividend Yield | 0.0389 | 0.0418 | 0.0457 |
Story Coverage note for Eaton Vance
The number of cover stories for Eaton Vance depends on current market conditions and Eaton Vance's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Eaton Vance is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Eaton Vance's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Eaton Vance Short Properties
Eaton Vance's future price predictability will typically decrease when Eaton Vance's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Eaton Vance Municipal often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Eaton Vance's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Eaton Vance's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 10.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.8 M |
Additional Tools for Eaton Stock Analysis
When running Eaton Vance's price analysis, check to measure Eaton Vance's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Eaton Vance is operating at the current time. Most of Eaton Vance's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Eaton Vance's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Eaton Vance's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Eaton Vance to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.