CAL-MAINE FOODS (Germany) Price Prediction

CM2 Stock  EUR 91.52  0.02  0.02%   
The value of RSI of CAL-MAINE FOODS's the stock price is about 66 suggesting that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling CAL-MAINE, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

66

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of CAL-MAINE FOODS's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of CAL-MAINE FOODS and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from CAL-MAINE FOODS's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with CAL MAINE FOODS, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using CAL-MAINE FOODS hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CAL MAINE FOODS from the perspective of CAL-MAINE FOODS response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in CAL-MAINE FOODS to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying CAL-MAINE because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

CAL-MAINE FOODS after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 91.52  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out CAL-MAINE FOODS Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade CAL-MAINE Stock refer to our How to Trade CAL-MAINE Stock guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
82.3798.85100.64
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
94.0195.8097.59
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
77.4685.4793.49
Details

CAL-MAINE FOODS After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of CAL-MAINE FOODS at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CAL-MAINE FOODS or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of CAL-MAINE FOODS, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

CAL-MAINE FOODS Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting CAL-MAINE FOODS's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CAL-MAINE FOODS's historical news coverage. CAL-MAINE FOODS's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 89.73 and 93.31, respectively. We have considered CAL-MAINE FOODS's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
91.52
91.52
After-hype Price
93.31
Upside
CAL-MAINE FOODS is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CAL MAINE FOODS is based on 3 months time horizon.

CAL-MAINE FOODS Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as CAL-MAINE FOODS is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CAL-MAINE FOODS backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CAL-MAINE FOODS, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.58 
1.80
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
91.52
91.52
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

CAL-MAINE FOODS Hype Timeline

CAL MAINE FOODS is currently traded for 91.52on Berlin Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. CAL-MAINE is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.58%. %. The volatility of related hype on CAL-MAINE FOODS is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 91.52. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. CAL MAINE FOODS had 2:1 split on the 3rd of November 2014. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out CAL-MAINE FOODS Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade CAL-MAINE Stock refer to our How to Trade CAL-MAINE Stock guide.

CAL-MAINE FOODS Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to CAL-MAINE FOODS's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CAL-MAINE FOODS's future price movements. Getting to know how CAL-MAINE FOODS's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CAL-MAINE FOODS may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

CAL-MAINE FOODS Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine CAL-MAINE price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CAL-MAINE using various technical indicators. When you analyze CAL-MAINE charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About CAL-MAINE FOODS Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of CAL-MAINE FOODS stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as CAL MAINE FOODS, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of CAL-MAINE FOODS based on analysis of CAL-MAINE FOODS hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to CAL-MAINE FOODS's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to CAL-MAINE FOODS's related companies.

Story Coverage note for CAL-MAINE FOODS

The number of cover stories for CAL-MAINE FOODS depends on current market conditions and CAL-MAINE FOODS's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that CAL-MAINE FOODS is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about CAL-MAINE FOODS's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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CAL-MAINE FOODS Short Properties

CAL-MAINE FOODS's future price predictability will typically decrease when CAL-MAINE FOODS's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of CAL MAINE FOODS often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential CAL-MAINE FOODS's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CAL-MAINE FOODS's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding48.9 M
Dividends Paid6.1 M

Complementary Tools for CAL-MAINE Stock analysis

When running CAL-MAINE FOODS's price analysis, check to measure CAL-MAINE FOODS's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CAL-MAINE FOODS is operating at the current time. Most of CAL-MAINE FOODS's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CAL-MAINE FOODS's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CAL-MAINE FOODS's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CAL-MAINE FOODS to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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