The Chefs Warehouse Stock Price Prediction

CHEF Stock  USD 44.56  0.44  0.98%   
As of 29th of November 2024, The value of RSI of Chefs Warehouse's share price is at 51 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Chefs Warehouse, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

51

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Chefs Warehouse's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Chefs Warehouse and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Chefs Warehouse's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with The Chefs Warehouse, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Chefs Warehouse's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.766
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.5
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.4139
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.7293
Wall Street Target Price
51
Using Chefs Warehouse hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of The Chefs Warehouse from the perspective of Chefs Warehouse response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Chefs Warehouse to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Chefs because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Chefs Warehouse after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 44.56  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Chefs Warehouse Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Chefs Warehouse's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
36.4938.4249.02
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
43.3445.2747.19
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
40.2744.2549.12
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.350.350.36
Details

Chefs Warehouse After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Chefs Warehouse at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Chefs Warehouse or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Chefs Warehouse, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Chefs Warehouse Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Chefs Warehouse's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Chefs Warehouse's historical news coverage. Chefs Warehouse's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 42.63 and 46.49, respectively. We have considered Chefs Warehouse's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
44.56
44.56
After-hype Price
46.49
Upside
Chefs Warehouse is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Chefs Warehouse is based on 3 months time horizon.

Chefs Warehouse Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Chefs Warehouse is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Chefs Warehouse backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Chefs Warehouse, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.10 
1.93
  0.07 
  0.07 
11 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 11 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
44.56
44.56
0.00 
292.42  
Notes

Chefs Warehouse Hype Timeline

Chefs Warehouse is currently traded for 44.56. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.07. Chefs is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.1%. %. The volatility of related hype on Chefs Warehouse is about 294.41%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 44.49. About 13.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Chefs Warehouse was currently reported as 12.14. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days.
Check out Chefs Warehouse Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Chefs Warehouse Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Chefs Warehouse's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Chefs Warehouse's future price movements. Getting to know how Chefs Warehouse's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Chefs Warehouse may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
USFDUS Foods Holding 0.53 8 per month 0.93  0.12  2.20 (1.58) 6.32 
SYYSysco(1.85)10 per month 1.29 (0.09) 1.44 (1.80) 5.28 
SPTNSpartanNash Co 0.04 9 per month 0.00 (0.13) 2.26 (3.34) 16.02 
CVGWCalavo Growers(0.89)10 per month 1.29  0.06  4.84 (2.39) 14.87 
AVOMission Produce(0.07)12 per month 0.99  0.07  2.21 (2.01) 24.92 
UNFIUnited Natural Foods(0.01)11 per month 2.49  0.17  5.68 (4.28) 40.04 
ANDEThe Andersons 0.50 7 per month 0.00 (0.07) 2.61 (2.78) 15.56 
PFGCPerformance Food Group(1.15)8 per month 0.79  0.09  2.42 (1.54) 9.40 
DITAMCON Distributing(3.00)4 per month 0.00 (0.04) 7.69 (5.43) 20.23 

Chefs Warehouse Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Chefs price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Chefs using various technical indicators. When you analyze Chefs charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Chefs Warehouse Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Chefs Warehouse stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as The Chefs Warehouse, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Chefs Warehouse based on analysis of Chefs Warehouse hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Chefs Warehouse's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Chefs Warehouse's related companies.
 2010 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield3.64E-40.003850.004043
Price To Sales Ratio0.691.130.76

Story Coverage note for Chefs Warehouse

The number of cover stories for Chefs Warehouse depends on current market conditions and Chefs Warehouse's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Chefs Warehouse is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Chefs Warehouse's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Chefs Warehouse Short Properties

Chefs Warehouse's future price predictability will typically decrease when Chefs Warehouse's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of The Chefs Warehouse often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Chefs Warehouse's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Chefs Warehouse's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding45.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments49.9 M

Complementary Tools for Chefs Stock analysis

When running Chefs Warehouse's price analysis, check to measure Chefs Warehouse's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Chefs Warehouse is operating at the current time. Most of Chefs Warehouse's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Chefs Warehouse's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Chefs Warehouse's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Chefs Warehouse to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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