Ashtead Group (UK) Price Prediction
| AHT Stock | 5,248 52.00 0.98% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
61
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.1) | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.05 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.21 | Wall Street Target Price 6.4 K | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.75 |
Using Ashtead Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ashtead Group PLC from the perspective of Ashtead Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Ashtead Group to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Ashtead because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Ashtead Group after-hype prediction price | GBX 5248.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Ashtead |
Ashtead Group After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Ashtead Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Ashtead Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Ashtead Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Ashtead Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Ashtead Group's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Ashtead Group's historical news coverage. Ashtead Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 5,246 and 5,250, respectively. We have considered Ashtead Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Ashtead Group is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ashtead Group PLC is based on 3 months time horizon.
Ashtead Group Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Ashtead Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ashtead Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ashtead Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 2.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
5,248 | 5,248 | 0.00 |
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Ashtead Group Hype Timeline
Ashtead Group PLC is presently traded for 5,248on London Exchange of UK. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Ashtead is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 39.17%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Ashtead Group is about 552.01%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 5,248. About 65.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Ashtead Group was presently reported as 16.24. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.24. Ashtead Group PLC last dividend was issued on the 8th of August 2024. The entity had 2:1 split on the 4th of November 1997. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Ashtead Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Ashtead Group Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Ashtead Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Ashtead Group's future price movements. Getting to know how Ashtead Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Ashtead Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LWI | Lowland Investment Co | 1.00 | 3 per month | 0.84 | (0.10) | 1.61 | (1.20) | 4.70 | |
| 0QI7 | Addtech | (1.14) | 1 per month | 1.75 | (0.06) | 2.82 | (2.80) | 7.52 | |
| MTEC | Made Tech Group | 0.20 | 2 per month | 1.67 | 0.12 | 6.45 | (3.90) | 28.29 | |
| IIG | Intuitive Investments Group | 0.00 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 1.15 | (2.69) | 7.49 | |
| ARR | Aurora Investment Trust | (1.50) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 1.59 | (2.10) | 5.46 | |
| 0I6U | DXC Technology Co | (0.40) | 3 per month | 2.23 | (0.01) | 4.35 | (3.53) | 11.06 | |
| 0RH1 | Kinnevik Investment AB | (1.14) | 1 per month | 2.04 | 0.03 | 3.85 | (2.58) | 14.66 |
Ashtead Group Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Ashtead price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ashtead using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ashtead charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About Ashtead Group Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Ashtead Group stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Ashtead Group PLC, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ashtead Group based on analysis of Ashtead Group hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Ashtead Group's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Ashtead Group's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Ashtead Group
The number of cover stories for Ashtead Group depends on current market conditions and Ashtead Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Ashtead Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Ashtead Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Ashtead Group Short Properties
Ashtead Group's future price predictability will typically decrease when Ashtead Group's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Ashtead Group PLC often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Ashtead Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ashtead Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 439.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 20.8 M |
Complementary Tools for Ashtead Stock analysis
When running Ashtead Group's price analysis, check to measure Ashtead Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ashtead Group is operating at the current time. Most of Ashtead Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ashtead Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ashtead Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ashtead Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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