American Financial Group Stock Price Prediction
| AFGE Stock | USD 19.98 0.07 0.35% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
41
Oversold | Overbought |
Using American Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of American Financial Group from the perspective of American Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in American Financial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying American because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
American Financial after-hype prediction price | USD 19.99 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
American |
American Financial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of American Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in American Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of American Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
American Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting American Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on American Financial's historical news coverage. American Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 19.19 and 20.79, respectively. We have considered American Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
American Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of American Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.
American Financial Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as American Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading American Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with American Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.03 | 0.80 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 10 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
19.98 | 19.99 | 0.05 |
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American Financial Hype Timeline
American Financial is presently traded for 19.98. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. American is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 19.99 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.05%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.03%. The volatility of related hype on American Financial is about 2352.94%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 19.98. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 7.45 B. Net Income was 852 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.3 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out American Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.American Financial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to American Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict American Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how American Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how American Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AFGB | American Financial Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 0.89 | (0.88) | 2.20 | |
| AFGC | American Financial Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.91 | (0.13) | 1.22 | (1.35) | 4.62 | |
| AFGD | American Financial Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.84 | (0.11) | 1.30 | (1.40) | 3.72 | |
| RZB | Reinsurance Group of | 0.05 | 9 per month | 0.23 | (0.44) | 0.40 | (0.36) | 1.23 | |
| MGR | Affiliated Managers Group | (0.22) | 5 per month | 0.60 | (0.17) | 0.98 | (1.13) | 2.85 |
American Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine American price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for American using various technical indicators. When you analyze American charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About American Financial Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of American Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as American Financial Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of American Financial based on analysis of American Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to American Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to American Financial's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0679 | 0.0713 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.78 | 1.66 | 1.35 | 1.42 |
Story Coverage note for American Financial
The number of cover stories for American Financial depends on current market conditions and American Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that American Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about American Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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American Financial Short Properties
American Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when American Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of American Financial Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential American Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. American Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 84.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.2 B |
Complementary Tools for American Stock analysis
When running American Financial's price analysis, check to measure American Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy American Financial is operating at the current time. Most of American Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of American Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move American Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of American Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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