Chong Hong (Taiwan) Price Prediction

5534 Stock  TWD 88.10  0.20  0.23%   
At this time, The value of RSI of Chong Hong's share price is at 52. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Chong Hong, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

52

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Chong Hong's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Chong Hong and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Chong Hong's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Chong Hong Construction, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Chong Hong hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Chong Hong Construction from the perspective of Chong Hong response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Chong Hong to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Chong because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Chong Hong after-hype prediction price

    
  TWD 88.1  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Chong Hong Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
79.2995.1197.38
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
83.5285.7988.06
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
81.0386.8292.61
Details

Chong Hong After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Chong Hong at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Chong Hong or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Chong Hong, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Chong Hong Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Chong Hong's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Chong Hong's historical news coverage. Chong Hong's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 85.83 and 90.37, respectively. We have considered Chong Hong's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
88.10
88.10
After-hype Price
90.37
Upside
Chong Hong is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Chong Hong Construction is based on 3 months time horizon.

Chong Hong Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Chong Hong is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Chong Hong backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Chong Hong, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.23 
2.28
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
88.10
88.10
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Chong Hong Hype Timeline

Chong Hong Construction is presently traded for 88.10on Taiwan Stock Exchange of Taiwan. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Chong is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.23%. %. The volatility of related hype on Chong Hong is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 88.10. About 43.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.1. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. Chong Hong Construction has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.47. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 10.43. The firm last dividend was issued on the 26th of August 2022. Chong Hong had 1050:1000 split on the 14th of September 2015. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Chong Hong Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Chong Hong Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Chong Hong's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Chong Hong's future price movements. Getting to know how Chong Hong's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Chong Hong may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
5534Chong Hong Construction 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.19) 3.68 (3.56) 12.00 
9945Ruentex Development Co 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.12) 1.80 (2.13) 7.35 
6438Symtek Automation Asia 0.00 0 per month 2.07  0.19  9.79 (3.99) 17.42 
5245WiseChip Semiconductor 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.12) 2.89 (3.45) 14.50 
3034Novatek Microelectronics Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.15) 1.97 (2.55) 8.21 
3058Leader Electronics 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.16) 2.79 (2.89) 8.09 
3152Advanced Ceramic X 0.00 0 per month 1.78  0.01  4.35 (2.94) 12.61 
6118Xander International 0.00 0 per month 1.77  0.05  4.25 (3.35) 14.22 
6697Information Technology Total 0.00 0 per month 1.62  0.03  3.46 (2.85) 15.29 
6209Kinko Optical Co 0.00 0 per month 1.24 (0.07) 1.98 (2.15) 5.38 

Chong Hong Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Chong price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Chong using various technical indicators. When you analyze Chong charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Chong Hong Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Chong Hong stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Chong Hong Construction, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Chong Hong based on analysis of Chong Hong hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Chong Hong's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Chong Hong's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Chong Hong

The number of cover stories for Chong Hong depends on current market conditions and Chong Hong's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Chong Hong is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Chong Hong's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Chong Hong Short Properties

Chong Hong's future price predictability will typically decrease when Chong Hong's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Chong Hong Construction often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Chong Hong's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Chong Hong's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding290.3 M

Additional Tools for Chong Stock Analysis

When running Chong Hong's price analysis, check to measure Chong Hong's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Chong Hong is operating at the current time. Most of Chong Hong's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Chong Hong's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Chong Hong's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Chong Hong to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.