CSC Steel (Malaysia) Price Prediction

5094 Stock   1.17  0.01  0.85%   
At the present time, the value of RSI of CSC Steel's share price is approaching 42. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling CSC Steel, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

42

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of CSC Steel's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of CSC Steel and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from CSC Steel's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with CSC Steel Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using CSC Steel hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CSC Steel Holdings from the perspective of CSC Steel response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in CSC Steel to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying CSC because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

CSC Steel after-hype prediction price

    
  MYR 1.17  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out CSC Steel Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.211.192.17
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.161.142.13
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.171.191.21
Details

CSC Steel After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of CSC Steel at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CSC Steel or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of CSC Steel, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

CSC Steel Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting CSC Steel's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CSC Steel's historical news coverage. CSC Steel's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.19 and 2.15, respectively. We have considered CSC Steel's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
1.17
1.17
After-hype Price
2.15
Upside
CSC Steel is relatively risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CSC Steel Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.

CSC Steel Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as CSC Steel is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CSC Steel backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CSC Steel, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.09 
0.98
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
1.17
1.17
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

CSC Steel Hype Timeline

CSC Steel Holdings is presently traded for 1.17on Kuala Lumpur Exchange of Malaysia. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. CSC is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.09%. %. The volatility of related hype on CSC Steel is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.17. The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 0.5. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. CSC Steel Holdings had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out CSC Steel Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

CSC Steel Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to CSC Steel's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CSC Steel's future price movements. Getting to know how CSC Steel's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CSC Steel may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
8869Press Metal Bhd 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.15) 3.66 (3.86) 8.30 
7172PMB Technology Bhd 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.09) 4.55 (6.07) 17.05 
5125Pantech Group Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.14) 2.06 (2.06) 4.37 
5094CSC Steel Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.19) 1.68 (1.63) 4.99 
0240Coraza Integrated Technology 0.00 0 per month 2.14  0.03  5.13 (4.65) 15.38 
5665Southern Steel Bhd 0.00 0 per month 2.72  0.01  6.12 (5.77) 15.56 
5098Malaysia Steel Works 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.11) 3.23 (3.12) 6.56 
5797Choo Bee Metal 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.17) 2.47 (4.76) 13.82 
7217Eonmetall Group Bhd 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.09) 6.45 (5.71) 17.65 
5087Mycron Steel Bhd 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.07) 5.41 (5.13) 19.29 

CSC Steel Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine CSC price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CSC using various technical indicators. When you analyze CSC charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About CSC Steel Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of CSC Steel stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as CSC Steel Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of CSC Steel based on analysis of CSC Steel hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to CSC Steel's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to CSC Steel's related companies.

Story Coverage note for CSC Steel

The number of cover stories for CSC Steel depends on current market conditions and CSC Steel's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that CSC Steel is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about CSC Steel's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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CSC Steel Short Properties

CSC Steel's future price predictability will typically decrease when CSC Steel's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of CSC Steel Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential CSC Steel's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CSC Steel's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding369.3 M
Dividends Paid25.9 M
Short Long Term Debt71.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments233.5 M

Other Information on Investing in CSC Stock

CSC Steel financial ratios help investors to determine whether CSC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CSC with respect to the benefits of owning CSC Steel security.