Citic Offshore (China) Price Prediction
| 000099 Stock | 24.43 1.93 7.32% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
43
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.04) | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.36 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.41 | Wall Street Target Price 11 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.067 |
Using Citic Offshore hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Citic Offshore Helicopter from the perspective of Citic Offshore response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Citic Offshore to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Citic because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Citic Offshore after-hype prediction price | CNY 24.06 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Citic |
Citic Offshore After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Citic Offshore at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Citic Offshore or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Citic Offshore, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Citic Offshore Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Citic Offshore's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Citic Offshore's historical news coverage. Citic Offshore's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 19.02 and 29.10, respectively. We have considered Citic Offshore's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Citic Offshore is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Citic Offshore Helicopter is based on 3 months time horizon.
Citic Offshore Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Citic Offshore is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Citic Offshore backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Citic Offshore, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.42 | 5.04 | 0.37 | 0.03 | 1 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
24.43 | 24.06 | 1.51 |
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Citic Offshore Hype Timeline
Citic Offshore Helicopter is presently traded for 24.43on Shenzhen Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.37, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Citic is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 24.06. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -1.51%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.42%. The volatility of related hype on Citic Offshore is about 7522.39%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 24.46. About 40.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The book value of Citic Offshore was presently reported as 6.75. The company last dividend was issued on the 21st of May 2024. Citic Offshore Helicopter had 13.2:10 split on the 7th of February 2006. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be very soon. Check out Citic Offshore Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Citic Offshore Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Citic Offshore's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Citic Offshore's future price movements. Getting to know how Citic Offshore's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Citic Offshore may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 601398 | Industrial and Commercial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.95 | 0.13 | 2.36 | (1.71) | 7.05 | |
| 601939 | China Construction Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.15 | 0.08 | 1.81 | (1.93) | 8.64 | |
| 601288 | Agricultural Bank of | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.34 | 0.08 | 2.20 | (2.19) | 6.56 | |
| 601988 | Bank of China | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.04 | 0.1 | 1.90 | (1.98) | 6.49 | |
| 601857 | PetroChina Co Ltd | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 2.73 | (2.01) | 9.53 | |
| 600036 | China Merchants Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 2.39 | (2.56) | 8.51 | |
| 600938 | CNOOC Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 2.42 | (2.13) | 8.27 | |
| 600941 | China Mobile Limited | 0.71 | 2 per month | 1.10 | 0.10 | 2.43 | (2.15) | 8.38 | |
| 601328 | Bank of Communications | (0.03) | 2 per month | 1.47 | 0.04 | 2.81 | (2.27) | 8.24 | |
| 601658 | Postal Savings Bank | (0.01) | 1 per month | 1.48 | 0.08 | 3.47 | (2.35) | 9.13 |
Citic Offshore Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Citic price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Citic using various technical indicators. When you analyze Citic charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Citic Offshore Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Citic Offshore stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Citic Offshore Helicopter, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Citic Offshore based on analysis of Citic Offshore hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Citic Offshore's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Citic Offshore's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Citic Offshore
The number of cover stories for Citic Offshore depends on current market conditions and Citic Offshore's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Citic Offshore is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Citic Offshore's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Citic Offshore Short Properties
Citic Offshore's future price predictability will typically decrease when Citic Offshore's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Citic Offshore Helicopter often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Citic Offshore's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Citic Offshore's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 775.8 M |
Complementary Tools for Citic Stock analysis
When running Citic Offshore's price analysis, check to measure Citic Offshore's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Citic Offshore is operating at the current time. Most of Citic Offshore's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Citic Offshore's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Citic Offshore's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Citic Offshore to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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