Timothy Plan Defensive Fund Manager Performance Evaluation
| TPDIX Fund | USD 14.09 0.09 0.63% |
The entity has a beta of 0.0428, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Timothy Plan's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Timothy Plan is expected to be smaller as well.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
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Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Timothy Plan Defensive has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong forward indicators, Timothy Plan is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
...more| Expense Ratio Date | 17th of February 2023 | |
| Expense Ratio | 1.1000 |
Timothy |
Timothy Plan Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 1,462 in Timothy Plan Defensive on September 14, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (53.00) from holding Timothy Plan Defensive or give up 3.63% of portfolio value over 90 days. Timothy Plan Defensive is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 0.5044% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 4% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Timothy, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Timothy Plan Current Valuation
Fairly Valued
Today
Please note that Timothy Plan's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the fund appears to be fairly valued. Timothy Plan Defensive has a current Real Value of $14.18 per share. The regular price of the fund is $14.09. We determine the value of Timothy Plan Defensive from inspecting fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we recommend acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will draw towards each other.
Since Timothy Plan is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Timothy Mutual Fund. However, Timothy Plan's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value. | Historical | Market 14.09 | Real 14.18 | Hype 14.09 |
The intrinsic value of Timothy Plan's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Timothy Plan's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Timothy Plan Defensive helps investors to forecast how Timothy mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Timothy Plan more accurately as focusing exclusively on Timothy Plan's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors: Timothy Plan Market Risk Analysis
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Timothy Plan's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of mutual funds, such as Timothy Plan Defensive, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Timothy Plan's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.
Sharpe Ratio = -0.1137
| Best Portfolio | Best Equity | |||
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| Cash | Small Risk | Average Risk | High Risk | Huge Risk |
| Negative Returns | TPDIX |
Estimated Market Risk
| 0.5 actual daily | 4 96% of assets are more volatile |
Expected Return
| -0.06 actual daily | 0 Most of other assets have higher returns |
Risk-Adjusted Return
| -0.11 actual daily | 0 Most of other assets perform better |
Based on monthly moving average Timothy Plan is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Timothy Plan by adding Timothy Plan to a well-diversified portfolio.
Timothy Plan Fundamentals Growth
Timothy Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Timothy Plan, and Timothy Plan fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Timothy Mutual Fund performance.
| Price To Earning | 22.63 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 1.53 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 1.49 X | ||||
| Total Asset | 25.8 M | ||||
About Timothy Plan Performance
Evaluating Timothy Plan's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Timothy Plan has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Timothy Plan has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund invests varying percentages of its total assets in Real Estate Investment Trusts, Commodities-based securities, Various Fixed Income securities, TIPS and cash and cash equivalents. During times of significant market upheaval, it may take large, small, or even no position in any one or more of the Asset Classes, may invest in gold and other eligible precious metals to the maximum extent allowed, andor may hold some or all of the funds assets in cash andor cash equivalents. The fund is non-diversified.Things to note about Timothy Plan Defensive performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Timothy Plan for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Timothy Plan Defensive help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Timothy Plan generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund maintains about 10.17% of its assets in cash |
- Analyzing Timothy Plan's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Timothy Plan's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Timothy Plan's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Timothy Plan's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Timothy Plan's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Timothy Plan's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Timothy Plan's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Other Information on Investing in Timothy Mutual Fund
Timothy Plan financial ratios help investors to determine whether Timothy Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Timothy with respect to the benefits of owning Timothy Plan security.
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