Timothy Plan Conservative Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

TIICX Fund  USD 10.29  0.42  3.92%   
The entity has a beta of 0.38, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Timothy Plan's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Timothy Plan is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Over the last 90 days Timothy Plan Conservative has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong fundamental indicators, Timothy Plan is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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Timothy Plan Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,066  in Timothy Plan Conservative on September 14, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (37.00) from holding Timothy Plan Conservative or give up 3.47% of portfolio value over 90 days. Timothy Plan Conservative is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 0.5868% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 5% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Timothy, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Timothy Plan is expected to under-perform the market. But the company apears to be less risky and when comparing its historical volatility, the company is 1.25 times less risky than the market. the firm trades about -0.09 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

Timothy Plan Current Valuation

Fairly Valued
Today
10.29
Please note that Timothy Plan's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Based on Macroaxis valuation methodology, the fund is fairly valued. Timothy Plan Conservative has a current Real Value of $10.35 per share. The regular price of the fund is $10.29. Our model measures the value of Timothy Plan Conservative from inspecting the fund technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. In general, investors recommend acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will draw towards each other.
Since Timothy Plan is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Timothy Mutual Fund. However, Timothy Plan's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  10.29 Real  10.35 Hype  10.29
The intrinsic value of Timothy Plan's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Timothy Plan's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
10.35
Real Value
10.67
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Timothy Plan Conservative helps investors to forecast how Timothy mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Timothy Plan more accurately as focusing exclusively on Timothy Plan's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.9710.2910.61
Details

Timothy Plan Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Timothy Plan's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of mutual funds, such as Timothy Plan Conservative, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Timothy Plan's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = -0.0926

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Estimated Market Risk

 0.59
  actual daily
5
95% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 -0.05
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 -0.09
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Timothy Plan is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Timothy Plan by adding Timothy Plan to a well-diversified portfolio.

Timothy Plan Fundamentals Growth

Timothy Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Timothy Plan, and Timothy Plan fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Timothy Mutual Fund performance.

About Timothy Plan Performance

Evaluating Timothy Plan's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Timothy Plan has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Timothy Plan has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund normally will invest at least 75 percent of its total assets in the traditional funds. The advisor will determine the specific asset allocation program on a continuous basis, based on its forecast of the overall market. On each day that the fund is open for business, the advisor will review the asset allocation program and reallocate and will reallocate for any new underlying funds in which the fund may elect to invest. The advisor also will reallocate the funds investments in the traditional funds at the end of each fiscal quarter to maintain the asset allocation program.

Things to note about Timothy Plan Conservative performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Timothy Plan for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Timothy Plan Conservative help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Timothy Plan generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund maintains all of the assets in different exotic instruments
Evaluating Timothy Plan's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Timothy Plan's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Timothy Plan's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Timothy Plan's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Timothy Plan's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Timothy Plan's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Timothy Plan's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Timothy Plan's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Timothy Plan's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Timothy Plan's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Timothy Plan's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Timothy Mutual Fund

Timothy Plan financial ratios help investors to determine whether Timothy Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Timothy with respect to the benefits of owning Timothy Plan security.
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