Guggenheim Risk Managed Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

GURPX Fund  USD 35.40  0.19  0.54%   
The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.19, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Guggenheim Risk's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Guggenheim Risk is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

7 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Guggenheim Risk Managed are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Guggenheim Risk is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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Guggenheim Risk Managed Real Estate Fund Q2 2024 Commentary - Seeking Alpha
09/25/2024
Expense Ratio Date26th of May 2023
Expense Ratio1.6000
  

Guggenheim Risk Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  3,388  in Guggenheim Risk Managed on August 31, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  152.00  from holding Guggenheim Risk Managed or generate 4.49% return on investment over 90 days. Guggenheim Risk Managed is currently producing 0.0723% returns and takes up 0.733% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 6% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Guggenheim, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Guggenheim Risk is expected to generate 1.98 times less return on investment than the market. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, the company is 1.02 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.1 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.19 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

Guggenheim Risk Current Valuation

Fairly Valued
Today
35.40
Please note that Guggenheim Risk's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the entity appears to be fairly valued. Guggenheim Risk Managed retains a regular Real Value of $35.16 per share. The prevalent price of the fund is $35.4. We determine the value of Guggenheim Risk Managed from evaluating fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we encourage acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will come together.
Since Guggenheim Risk is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Guggenheim Mutual Fund. However, Guggenheim Risk's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  35.4 Real  35.16 Hype  35.4 Naive  36.25
The intrinsic value of Guggenheim Risk's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Guggenheim Risk's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
35.16
Real Value
35.89
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Guggenheim Risk Managed helps investors to forecast how Guggenheim mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Guggenheim Risk more accurately as focusing exclusively on Guggenheim Risk's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
33.3934.3735.35
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
34.6735.4036.13
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
35.5336.2536.98
Details

Guggenheim Risk Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Guggenheim Risk's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of mutual funds, such as Guggenheim Risk Managed, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Guggenheim Risk's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = 0.0987

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Estimated Market Risk

 0.73
  actual daily
6
94% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 0.07
  actual daily
1
99% of assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 0.1
  actual daily
7
93% of assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Guggenheim Risk is performing at about 7% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Guggenheim Risk by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.

Guggenheim Risk Fundamentals Growth

Guggenheim Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Guggenheim Risk, and Guggenheim Risk fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Guggenheim Mutual Fund performance.

About Guggenheim Risk Performance

Evaluating Guggenheim Risk's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Guggenheim Risk has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Guggenheim Risk has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund pursues its investment objective by investing, under normal circumstances, at least 80 percent of its assets in long and short equity securities of issuers primarily engaged in the real estate industry, such as real estate investment trusts and equity-like securities, including individual securities, exchange-traded funds and derivatives, giving exposure to issuers primarily engaged in the real estate industry.

Things to note about Guggenheim Risk Managed performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Guggenheim Risk for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Guggenheim Risk Managed help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 16.48% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash
Evaluating Guggenheim Risk's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Guggenheim Risk's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Guggenheim Risk's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Guggenheim Risk's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Guggenheim Risk's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Guggenheim Risk's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Guggenheim Risk's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Guggenheim Risk's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Guggenheim Risk's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Guggenheim Risk's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Guggenheim Risk's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Guggenheim Mutual Fund

Guggenheim Risk financial ratios help investors to determine whether Guggenheim Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Guggenheim with respect to the benefits of owning Guggenheim Risk security.
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