Dreyfus Alcentra Global Fund Market Value

XDCFX Fund  USD 9.27  0.01  0.11%   
Dreyfus Alcentra's market value is the price at which a share of Dreyfus Alcentra trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Dreyfus Alcentra Global investors about its performance. Dreyfus Alcentra is trading at 9.27 as of the 29th of November 2024; that is 0.11 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 9.26.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Dreyfus Alcentra Global and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Dreyfus Alcentra over a given investment horizon. Check out Dreyfus Alcentra Correlation, Dreyfus Alcentra Volatility and Dreyfus Alcentra Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Dreyfus Alcentra.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Dreyfus Alcentra's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Dreyfus Alcentra is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Dreyfus Alcentra's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Dreyfus Alcentra 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Dreyfus Alcentra's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Dreyfus Alcentra.
0.00
10/30/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/29/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Dreyfus Alcentra on October 30, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Dreyfus Alcentra Global or generate 0.0% return on investment in Dreyfus Alcentra over 30 days. Dreyfus Alcentra is related to or competes with Vanguard Total, Vanguard 500, Vanguard Total, Vanguard Total, Vanguard Total, Vanguard Total, and Vanguard 500. Dreyfus Alcentra is entity of United States More

Dreyfus Alcentra Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Dreyfus Alcentra's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Dreyfus Alcentra Global upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Dreyfus Alcentra Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Dreyfus Alcentra's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Dreyfus Alcentra's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Dreyfus Alcentra historical prices to predict the future Dreyfus Alcentra's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.179.279.37
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.438.5310.20
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.159.259.36
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.239.259.27
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Dreyfus Alcentra. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Dreyfus Alcentra's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Dreyfus Alcentra's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Dreyfus Alcentra Global.

Dreyfus Alcentra Global Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Dreyfus Mutual Fund to be very steady. Dreyfus Alcentra Global secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0852, which denotes the fund had a 0.0852% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-six technical indicators for Dreyfus Alcentra Global, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Dreyfus Alcentra's Downside Deviation of 0.2307, coefficient of variation of 1008.84, and Mean Deviation of 0.0602 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0086%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0158, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Dreyfus Alcentra's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Dreyfus Alcentra is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.62  

Good predictability

Dreyfus Alcentra Global has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Dreyfus Alcentra time series from 30th of October 2024 to 14th of November 2024 and 14th of November 2024 to 29th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Dreyfus Alcentra Global price movement. The serial correlation of 0.62 indicates that roughly 62.0% of current Dreyfus Alcentra price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.62
Spearman Rank Test0.97
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Dreyfus Alcentra Global lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Dreyfus Alcentra mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Dreyfus Alcentra's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Dreyfus Alcentra returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Dreyfus Alcentra has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Dreyfus Alcentra regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Dreyfus Alcentra mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Dreyfus Alcentra mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Dreyfus Alcentra mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Dreyfus Alcentra Lagged Returns

When evaluating Dreyfus Alcentra's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Dreyfus Alcentra mutual fund have on its future price. Dreyfus Alcentra autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Dreyfus Alcentra autocorrelation shows the relationship between Dreyfus Alcentra mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Dreyfus Alcentra Global.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Dreyfus Mutual Fund

Dreyfus Alcentra financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dreyfus Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dreyfus with respect to the benefits of owning Dreyfus Alcentra security.
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