Western Asset Inflation Fund Market Value

WAFCX Fund  USD 9.07  0.01  0.11%   
Western Asset's market value is the price at which a share of Western Asset trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Western Asset Inflation investors about its performance. Western Asset is trading at 9.07 as of the 11th of December 2024; that is 0.11 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 9.08.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Western Asset Inflation and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Western Asset over a given investment horizon. Check out Western Asset Correlation, Western Asset Volatility and Western Asset Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Western Asset.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Western Asset's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Western Asset is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Western Asset's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Western Asset 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Western Asset's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Western Asset.
0.00
08/19/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 3 months and 26 days
12/11/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Western Asset on August 19, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Western Asset Inflation or generate 0.0% return on investment in Western Asset over 480 days. Western Asset is related to or competes with Small Cap, Auer Growth, Balanced Fund, Ab Small, Volumetric Fund, Multimedia Portfolio, and T Rowe. The fund normally invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in inflation-indexed fixed income securities and at leas... More

Western Asset Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Western Asset's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Western Asset Inflation upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Western Asset Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Western Asset's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Western Asset's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Western Asset historical prices to predict the future Western Asset's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Western Asset's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.789.079.36
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.799.089.37
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.799.089.37
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.069.099.12
Details

Western Asset Inflation Backtested Returns

Western Asset Inflation shows Sharpe Ratio of -0.0823, which attests that the fund had a -0.0823% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Western Asset Inflation exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Western Asset's Standard Deviation of 0.2852, mean deviation of 0.2229, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.65) to validate the risk estimate we provide. The entity maintains a market beta of 0.0448, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Western Asset's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Western Asset is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.62  

Good predictability

Western Asset Inflation has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Western Asset time series from 19th of August 2023 to 15th of April 2024 and 15th of April 2024 to 11th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Western Asset Inflation price movement. The serial correlation of 0.62 indicates that roughly 62.0% of current Western Asset price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.62
Spearman Rank Test0.61
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.03

Western Asset Inflation lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Western Asset mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Western Asset's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Western Asset returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Western Asset has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Western Asset regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Western Asset mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Western Asset mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Western Asset mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Western Asset Lagged Returns

When evaluating Western Asset's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Western Asset mutual fund have on its future price. Western Asset autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Western Asset autocorrelation shows the relationship between Western Asset mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Western Asset Inflation.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Western Mutual Fund

Western Asset financial ratios help investors to determine whether Western Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Western with respect to the benefits of owning Western Asset security.
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