Volkswagen (Poland) Market Value
| VOW Stock | 376.90 8.60 2.34% |
| Symbol | Volkswagen |
Please note, there is a significant difference between Volkswagen's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Volkswagen is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Volkswagen's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Volkswagen 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Volkswagen's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Volkswagen.
| 12/03/2023 |
| 12/27/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Volkswagen on December 3, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Volkswagen AG Non Vtg or generate 0.0% return on investment in Volkswagen over 390 days. Volkswagen is related to or competes with Gaming Factory, PLAYWAY SA, Immobile, Ultimate Games, TEN SQUARE, Medicalg, and Skyline Investment. More
Volkswagen Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Volkswagen's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Volkswagen AG Non Vtg upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.08) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 10.12 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.55) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.93 |
Volkswagen Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Volkswagen's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Volkswagen's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Volkswagen historical prices to predict the future Volkswagen's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.03) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.09) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.17) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 14.97 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Volkswagen's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Volkswagen AG Non Backtested Returns
Volkswagen AG Non owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0837, which indicates the firm had a -0.0837% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Volkswagen AG Non Vtg exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Volkswagen's Coefficient Of Variation of (2,166), risk adjusted performance of (0.03), and Variance of 2.66 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of -0.0057, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Volkswagen are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Volkswagen is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Volkswagen AG Non has a negative expected return of -0.14%. Please make sure to validate Volkswagen's information ratio, skewness, as well as the relationship between the Skewness and day typical price , to decide if Volkswagen AG Non performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | 0.00 |
No correlation between past and present
Volkswagen AG Non Vtg has no correlation between past and present. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Volkswagen time series from 3rd of December 2023 to 15th of June 2024 and 15th of June 2024 to 27th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Volkswagen AG Non price movement. The serial correlation of 0.0 indicates that just 0.0% of current Volkswagen price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.0 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.0 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.0 |
Volkswagen AG Non lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Volkswagen stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Volkswagen's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Volkswagen returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Volkswagen has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Volkswagen regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Volkswagen stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Volkswagen stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Volkswagen stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Volkswagen Lagged Returns
When evaluating Volkswagen's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Volkswagen stock have on its future price. Volkswagen autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Volkswagen autocorrelation shows the relationship between Volkswagen stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Volkswagen AG Non Vtg.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Pair Trading with Volkswagen
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Volkswagen position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Volkswagen will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against Volkswagen Stock
| 0.89 | XTB | X Trade Brokers | PairCorr |
| 0.83 | DNP | Dino Polska SA | PairCorr |
| 0.73 | CEZ | CEZ as | PairCorr |
| 0.59 | CFS | Centrum Finansowe Banku | PairCorr |
| 0.56 | BTK | Biztech Konsulting | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Volkswagen could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Volkswagen when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Volkswagen - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Volkswagen AG Non Vtg to buy it.
The correlation of Volkswagen is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Volkswagen moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Volkswagen AG Non moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Volkswagen can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for Volkswagen Stock Analysis
When running Volkswagen's price analysis, check to measure Volkswagen's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Volkswagen is operating at the current time. Most of Volkswagen's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Volkswagen's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Volkswagen's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Volkswagen to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.