Vanguard New York Fund Market Value
VNYUX Fund | USD 10.92 0.01 0.09% |
Symbol | Vanguard |
Vanguard New 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Vanguard New's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Vanguard New.
01/28/2025 |
| 02/27/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Vanguard New on January 28, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Vanguard New York or generate 0.0% return on investment in Vanguard New over 30 days. Vanguard New is related to or competes with Rbc Emerging, Templeton Developing, Maryland Short-term, Pnc Emerging, Goldman Sachs, and Investec Emerging. The fund invests primarily in high-quality municipal bonds issued by New York state and local governments, as well as by... More
Vanguard New Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Vanguard New's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Vanguard New York upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
Downside Deviation | 0.4258 | |||
Information Ratio | 0.0225 | |||
Maximum Drawdown | 1.66 | |||
Value At Risk | (0.55) | |||
Potential Upside | 0.4647 |
Vanguard New Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Vanguard New's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Vanguard New's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Vanguard New historical prices to predict the future Vanguard New's volatility.Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0104 | |||
Jensen Alpha | 6.0E-4 | |||
Total Risk Alpha | 0.0028 | |||
Sortino Ratio | 0.0156 | |||
Treynor Ratio | 0.0028 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vanguard New's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Vanguard New York Backtested Returns
Vanguard New York owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0355, which indicates the fund had a -0.0355 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Vanguard New York exposes twenty-eight different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Vanguard New's Coefficient Of Variation of 2900.36, risk adjusted performance of 0.0104, and Semi Deviation of 0.2924 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of 0.0623, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Vanguard New's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Vanguard New is expected to be smaller as well.
Auto-correlation | 0.78 |
Good predictability
Vanguard New York has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Vanguard New time series from 28th of January 2025 to 12th of February 2025 and 12th of February 2025 to 27th of February 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Vanguard New York price movement. The serial correlation of 0.78 indicates that around 78.0% of current Vanguard New price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient | 0.78 | |
Spearman Rank Test | 0.89 | |
Residual Average | 0.0 | |
Price Variance | 0.0 |
Vanguard New York lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Vanguard New mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Vanguard New's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Vanguard New returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Vanguard New has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
Timeline |
Vanguard New regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Vanguard New mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Vanguard New mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Vanguard New mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
Timeline |
Vanguard New Lagged Returns
When evaluating Vanguard New's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Vanguard New mutual fund have on its future price. Vanguard New autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Vanguard New autocorrelation shows the relationship between Vanguard New mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Vanguard New York.
Regressed Prices |
Timeline |
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Vanguard New financial ratios help investors to determine whether Vanguard Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Vanguard with respect to the benefits of owning Vanguard New security.
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