NXP Semiconductors (Germany) Market Value

VNX Stock  EUR 214.00  5.00  2.28%   
NXP Semiconductors' market value is the price at which a share of NXP Semiconductors trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of NXP Semiconductors NV investors about its performance. NXP Semiconductors is selling for under 214.00 as of the 1st of December 2024; that is 2.28% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's last reported lowest price was 214.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of NXP Semiconductors NV and determine expected loss or profit from investing in NXP Semiconductors over a given investment horizon. Check out NXP Semiconductors Correlation, NXP Semiconductors Volatility and NXP Semiconductors Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on NXP Semiconductors.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between NXP Semiconductors' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if NXP Semiconductors is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, NXP Semiconductors' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

NXP Semiconductors 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to NXP Semiconductors' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of NXP Semiconductors.
0.00
06/04/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 5 months and 30 days
12/01/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in NXP Semiconductors on June 4, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding NXP Semiconductors NV or generate 0.0% return on investment in NXP Semiconductors over 180 days. NXP Semiconductors is related to or competes with SIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS, Darden Restaurants, Reliance Steel, Q2M Managementberatu, Hyster-Yale Materials, Hastings Technology, and Meli Hotels. More

NXP Semiconductors Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure NXP Semiconductors' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess NXP Semiconductors NV upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

NXP Semiconductors Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for NXP Semiconductors' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as NXP Semiconductors' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use NXP Semiconductors historical prices to predict the future NXP Semiconductors' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
211.73214.00216.27
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
160.37162.64235.40
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
218.95221.22223.49
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
204.47213.80223.13
Details

NXP Semiconductors Backtested Returns

NXP Semiconductors has Sharpe Ratio of -0.0332, which conveys that the firm had a -0.0332% return per unit of volatility over the last 3 months. NXP Semiconductors exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify NXP Semiconductors' risk adjusted performance of (0.01), and Mean Deviation of 1.48 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 1.29, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, NXP Semiconductors will likely underperform. At this point, NXP Semiconductors has a negative expected return of -0.0754%. Please make sure to verify NXP Semiconductors' skewness, as well as the relationship between the rate of daily change and price action indicator , to decide if NXP Semiconductors performance from the past will be repeated at some future point.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.15  

Insignificant reverse predictability

NXP Semiconductors NV has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between NXP Semiconductors time series from 4th of June 2024 to 2nd of September 2024 and 2nd of September 2024 to 1st of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of NXP Semiconductors price movement. The serial correlation of -0.15 indicates that less than 15.0% of current NXP Semiconductors price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.15
Spearman Rank Test-0.24
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance40.94

NXP Semiconductors lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is NXP Semiconductors stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting NXP Semiconductors' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of NXP Semiconductors returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that NXP Semiconductors has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

NXP Semiconductors regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If NXP Semiconductors stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if NXP Semiconductors stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in NXP Semiconductors stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

NXP Semiconductors Lagged Returns

When evaluating NXP Semiconductors' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of NXP Semiconductors stock have on its future price. NXP Semiconductors autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, NXP Semiconductors autocorrelation shows the relationship between NXP Semiconductors stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in NXP Semiconductors NV.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
Explore Investing Ideas  

Additional Tools for NXP Stock Analysis

When running NXP Semiconductors' price analysis, check to measure NXP Semiconductors' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NXP Semiconductors is operating at the current time. Most of NXP Semiconductors' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NXP Semiconductors' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NXP Semiconductors' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NXP Semiconductors to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.