Vonovia SE (Germany) Market Value

VNA Stock  EUR 29.34  0.60  2.09%   
Vonovia SE's market value is the price at which a share of Vonovia SE trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Vonovia SE investors about its performance. Vonovia SE is trading at 29.34 as of the 23rd of December 2024. This is a 2.09 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 28.41.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Vonovia SE and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Vonovia SE over a given investment horizon. Check out Vonovia SE Correlation, Vonovia SE Volatility and Vonovia SE Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Vonovia SE.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Vonovia SE's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vonovia SE is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vonovia SE's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Vonovia SE 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Vonovia SE's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Vonovia SE.
0.00
04/27/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 7 months and 28 days
12/23/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Vonovia SE on April 27, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Vonovia SE or generate 0.0% return on investment in Vonovia SE over 240 days. Vonovia SE is related to or competes with COSTAR GROUP, CBRE Group, VONOVIA SE, Vonovia SE, Henderson Land, and Wharf Real. Vonovia SE operates as an integrated residential real estate company More

Vonovia SE Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Vonovia SE's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Vonovia SE upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Vonovia SE Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Vonovia SE's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Vonovia SE's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Vonovia SE historical prices to predict the future Vonovia SE's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
27.8129.3430.87
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
28.7630.2931.82
Details

Vonovia SE Backtested Returns

Vonovia SE owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.073, which indicates the firm had a -0.073% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Vonovia SE exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Vonovia SE's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.06), coefficient of variation of (1,318), and Variance of 2.34 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of 0.33, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Vonovia SE's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Vonovia SE is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Vonovia SE has a negative expected return of -0.11%. Please make sure to validate Vonovia SE's maximum drawdown, potential upside, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and skewness , to decide if Vonovia SE performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.14  

Insignificant reverse predictability

Vonovia SE has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Vonovia SE time series from 27th of April 2024 to 25th of August 2024 and 25th of August 2024 to 23rd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Vonovia SE price movement. The serial correlation of -0.14 indicates that less than 14.0% of current Vonovia SE price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.14
Spearman Rank Test-0.27
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.69

Vonovia SE lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Vonovia SE stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Vonovia SE's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Vonovia SE returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Vonovia SE has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Vonovia SE regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Vonovia SE stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Vonovia SE stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Vonovia SE stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Vonovia SE Lagged Returns

When evaluating Vonovia SE's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Vonovia SE stock have on its future price. Vonovia SE autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Vonovia SE autocorrelation shows the relationship between Vonovia SE stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Vonovia SE.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Vonovia Stock

Vonovia SE financial ratios help investors to determine whether Vonovia Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Vonovia with respect to the benefits of owning Vonovia SE security.