Vanguard Mid Cap Index Fund Market Value
| VMCPX Fund | USD 383.80 0.76 0.20% |
| Symbol | Vanguard |
Vanguard Mid 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Vanguard Mid's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Vanguard Mid.
| 12/12/2022 |
| 12/01/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Vanguard Mid on December 12, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Vanguard Mid Cap Index or generate 0.0% return on investment in Vanguard Mid over 720 days. Vanguard Mid is related to or competes with Federated Ohio, T Rowe, Blrc Sgy, Gamco Global, Alliancebernstein, California High-yield, and Oklahoma Municipal. The fund employs an indexing investment approach designed to track the performance of the CRSP US Mid Cap Index, a broad... More
Vanguard Mid Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Vanguard Mid's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Vanguard Mid Cap Index upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 0.6435 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0488 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 3.54 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.93) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.31 |
Vanguard Mid Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Vanguard Mid's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Vanguard Mid's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Vanguard Mid historical prices to predict the future Vanguard Mid's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1831 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0532 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0428 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0545 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1897 |
Vanguard Mid Cap Backtested Returns
At this stage we consider Vanguard Mutual Fund to be very steady. Vanguard Mid Cap owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.27, which indicates the fund had a 0.27% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Vanguard Mid Cap Index, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please validate Vanguard Mid's Semi Deviation of 0.3834, coefficient of variation of 415.92, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1831 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.19%. The entity has a beta of 0.86, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Vanguard Mid returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Vanguard Mid is expected to follow.
Auto-correlation | 0.02 |
Virtually no predictability
Vanguard Mid Cap Index has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Vanguard Mid time series from 12th of December 2022 to 7th of December 2023 and 7th of December 2023 to 1st of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Vanguard Mid Cap price movement. The serial correlation of 0.02 indicates that only 2.0% of current Vanguard Mid price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.02 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.19 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 396.68 |
Vanguard Mid Cap lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Vanguard Mid mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Vanguard Mid's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Vanguard Mid returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Vanguard Mid has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Vanguard Mid regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Vanguard Mid mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Vanguard Mid mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Vanguard Mid mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Vanguard Mid Lagged Returns
When evaluating Vanguard Mid's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Vanguard Mid mutual fund have on its future price. Vanguard Mid autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Vanguard Mid autocorrelation shows the relationship between Vanguard Mid mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Vanguard Mid Cap Index.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Vanguard Mutual Fund
Vanguard Mid financial ratios help investors to determine whether Vanguard Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Vanguard with respect to the benefits of owning Vanguard Mid security.
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