Viceroy Hotels (India) Market Value

VHLTD Stock   121.83  1.62  1.35%   
Viceroy Hotels' market value is the price at which a share of Viceroy Hotels trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Viceroy Hotels Limited investors about its performance. Viceroy Hotels is selling at 121.83 as of the 19th of March 2025; that is 1.35 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 120.21.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Viceroy Hotels Limited and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Viceroy Hotels over a given investment horizon. Check out Viceroy Hotels Correlation, Viceroy Hotels Volatility and Viceroy Hotels Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Viceroy Hotels.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Viceroy Hotels' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Viceroy Hotels is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Viceroy Hotels' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Viceroy Hotels 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Viceroy Hotels' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Viceroy Hotels.
0.00
12/19/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
03/19/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Viceroy Hotels on December 19, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Viceroy Hotels Limited or generate 0.0% return on investment in Viceroy Hotels over 90 days. Viceroy Hotels is related to or competes with Amrutanjan Health, Medplus Health, Max Healthcare, Sakar Healthcare, Kamat Hotels, and SANOFI CONS. Viceroy Hotels is entity of India. It is traded as Stock on NSE exchange. More

Viceroy Hotels Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Viceroy Hotels' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Viceroy Hotels Limited upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Viceroy Hotels Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Viceroy Hotels' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Viceroy Hotels' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Viceroy Hotels historical prices to predict the future Viceroy Hotels' volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Viceroy Hotels' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
119.24121.49123.74
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
113.49115.74134.01
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
128.71130.96133.21
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
107.90116.57125.24
Details

Viceroy Hotels Backtested Returns

As of now, Viceroy Stock is very steady. Viceroy Hotels owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0248, which indicates the firm had a 0.0248 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-four technical indicators for Viceroy Hotels Limited, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please validate Viceroy Hotels' Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.02), variance of 5.04, and Coefficient Of Variation of (3,322) to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0563%. Viceroy Hotels has a performance score of 1 on a scale of 0 to 100. The entity has a beta of 0.95, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Viceroy Hotels returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Viceroy Hotels is expected to follow. Viceroy Hotels right now has a risk of 2.27%. Please validate Viceroy Hotels skewness, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and rate of daily change , to decide if Viceroy Hotels will be following its existing price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.54  

Modest predictability

Viceroy Hotels Limited has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Viceroy Hotels time series from 19th of December 2024 to 2nd of February 2025 and 2nd of February 2025 to 19th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Viceroy Hotels price movement. The serial correlation of 0.54 indicates that about 54.0% of current Viceroy Hotels price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.54
Spearman Rank Test-0.04
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance18.78

Viceroy Hotels lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Viceroy Hotels stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Viceroy Hotels' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Viceroy Hotels returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Viceroy Hotels has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Viceroy Hotels regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Viceroy Hotels stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Viceroy Hotels stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Viceroy Hotels stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Viceroy Hotels Lagged Returns

When evaluating Viceroy Hotels' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Viceroy Hotels stock have on its future price. Viceroy Hotels autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Viceroy Hotels autocorrelation shows the relationship between Viceroy Hotels stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Viceroy Hotels Limited.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Viceroy Stock

Viceroy Hotels financial ratios help investors to determine whether Viceroy Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Viceroy with respect to the benefits of owning Viceroy Hotels security.