Vanguard FTSE (Germany) Market Value

VGWL Etf  EUR 132.56  0.56  0.42%   
Vanguard FTSE's market value is the price at which a share of Vanguard FTSE trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Vanguard FTSE All World investors about its performance. Vanguard FTSE is trading at 132.56 as of the 22nd of December 2024. This is a 0.42 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The etf's lowest day price was 130.14.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Vanguard FTSE All World and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Vanguard FTSE over a given investment horizon. Check out Vanguard FTSE Correlation, Vanguard FTSE Volatility and Vanguard FTSE Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Vanguard FTSE.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Vanguard FTSE's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vanguard FTSE is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vanguard FTSE's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Vanguard FTSE 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Vanguard FTSE's etf what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Vanguard FTSE.
0.00
11/22/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Vanguard FTSE on November 22, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Vanguard FTSE All World or generate 0.0% return on investment in Vanguard FTSE over 30 days. This Fund seeks to provide long-term growth of capital by tracking the performance of the Index, a market-capitalisation... More

Vanguard FTSE Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Vanguard FTSE's etf current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Vanguard FTSE All World upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Vanguard FTSE Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Vanguard FTSE's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Vanguard FTSE's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Vanguard FTSE historical prices to predict the future Vanguard FTSE's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
131.84132.56133.28
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
119.30141.18141.90
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
130.81131.54132.26
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
132.02134.25136.49
Details

Vanguard FTSE All Backtested Returns

At this point, Vanguard FTSE is very steady. Vanguard FTSE All owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.15, which indicates the etf had a 0.15% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Vanguard FTSE All World, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the etf. Please validate Vanguard FTSE's Semi Deviation of 0.5596, coefficient of variation of 605.12, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.13 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.11%. The entity has a beta of 0.1, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Vanguard FTSE's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Vanguard FTSE is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.68  

Very good reverse predictability

Vanguard FTSE All World has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Vanguard FTSE time series from 22nd of November 2024 to 7th of December 2024 and 7th of December 2024 to 22nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Vanguard FTSE All price movement. The serial correlation of -0.68 indicates that around 68.0% of current Vanguard FTSE price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.68
Spearman Rank Test-0.72
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.58

Vanguard FTSE All lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Vanguard FTSE etf's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Vanguard FTSE's etf expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Vanguard FTSE returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Vanguard FTSE has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the etf is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Vanguard FTSE regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Vanguard FTSE etf is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Vanguard FTSE etf is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Vanguard FTSE etf over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Vanguard FTSE Lagged Returns

When evaluating Vanguard FTSE's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Vanguard FTSE etf have on its future price. Vanguard FTSE autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Vanguard FTSE autocorrelation shows the relationship between Vanguard FTSE etf current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Vanguard FTSE All World.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Vanguard Etf

When determining whether Vanguard FTSE All is a strong investment it is important to analyze Vanguard FTSE's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Vanguard FTSE's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Vanguard Etf, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Vanguard FTSE Correlation, Vanguard FTSE Volatility and Vanguard FTSE Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Vanguard FTSE.
You can also try the Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..
Vanguard FTSE technical etf analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, etf market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Vanguard FTSE technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Vanguard FTSE trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...