Vanguard Star Fund Market Value

VGSTX Fund  USD 28.17  0.30  1.05%   
Vanguard Star's market value is the price at which a share of Vanguard Star trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Vanguard Star Fund investors about its performance. Vanguard Star is trading at 28.17 as of the 27th of February 2025; that is 1.05 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 28.47.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Vanguard Star Fund and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Vanguard Star over a given investment horizon. Check out Vanguard Star Correlation, Vanguard Star Volatility and Vanguard Star Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Vanguard Star.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Vanguard Star's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vanguard Star is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vanguard Star's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Vanguard Star 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Vanguard Star's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Vanguard Star.
0.00
01/28/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
02/27/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Vanguard Star on January 28, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Vanguard Star Fund or generate 0.0% return on investment in Vanguard Star over 30 days. Vanguard Star is related to or competes with Vanguard Wellington, Vanguard Wellesley, Vanguard Windsor, Vanguard Health, and Vanguard Equity. As a fund of funds, the fund invests in a diversified portfolio of other Vanguard mutual funds rather than in individual... More

Vanguard Star Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Vanguard Star's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Vanguard Star Fund upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Vanguard Star Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Vanguard Star's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Vanguard Star's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Vanguard Star historical prices to predict the future Vanguard Star's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vanguard Star's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
27.6928.4829.27
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
27.6928.4829.27
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
27.5728.3629.15
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
28.1428.4528.76
Details

Vanguard Star Backtested Returns

Vanguard Star owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0903, which indicates the fund had a -0.0903 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Vanguard Star Fund exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Vanguard Star's Variance of 0.5724, coefficient of variation of (3,714), and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.02) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of 0.47, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Vanguard Star's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Vanguard Star is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.51  

Good reverse predictability

Vanguard Star Fund has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Vanguard Star time series from 28th of January 2025 to 12th of February 2025 and 12th of February 2025 to 27th of February 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Vanguard Star price movement. The serial correlation of -0.51 indicates that about 51.0% of current Vanguard Star price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.51
Spearman Rank Test-0.07
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.03
Vanguard ReturnsVanguard Lagged ReturnsDiversified AwayVanguard ReturnsVanguard Lagged ReturnsDiversified Away100%

Vanguard Star lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Vanguard Star mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Vanguard Star's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Vanguard Star returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Vanguard Star has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Feb 12Feb 14Feb 16Feb 18Feb 20Feb 22Feb 24Feb 26-0.5%0%0.5%1.0% 1
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Volume Lagged Volume Prices Lagged Prices
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Vanguard Star regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Vanguard Star mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Vanguard Star mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Vanguard Star mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Feb 12Feb 14Feb 16Feb 18Feb 20Feb 22Feb 24Feb 2628.3028.3528.4028.4528.5028.5528.6028.65
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Regression Prices Lagged Regression Prices
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Vanguard Star Lagged Returns

When evaluating Vanguard Star's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Vanguard Star mutual fund have on its future price. Vanguard Star autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Vanguard Star autocorrelation shows the relationship between Vanguard Star mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Vanguard Star Fund.
   Regressed Prices   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Jan 28FebFeb 05Feb 09Feb 13Feb 17Feb 21Feb 2528.128.228.328.428.528.628.7
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Lagged Returns Returns
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Vanguard Mutual Fund

Vanguard Star financial ratios help investors to determine whether Vanguard Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Vanguard with respect to the benefits of owning Vanguard Star security.
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