United Utilities (UK) Market Value

UU Stock   972.00  1.80  0.18%   
United Utilities' market value is the price at which a share of United Utilities trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of United Utilities Group investors about its performance. United Utilities is trading at 972.00 as of the 27th of February 2025, a 0.18 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 966.2.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of United Utilities Group and determine expected loss or profit from investing in United Utilities over a given investment horizon. Check out United Utilities Correlation, United Utilities Volatility and United Utilities Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on United Utilities.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between United Utilities' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if United Utilities is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, United Utilities' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

United Utilities 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to United Utilities' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of United Utilities.
0.00
01/28/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
02/27/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in United Utilities on January 28, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding United Utilities Group or generate 0.0% return on investment in United Utilities over 30 days. United Utilities is related to or competes with Central Asia, Beowulf Mining, Ecclesiastical Insurance, Critical Metals, Wheaton Precious, BE Semiconductor, and Silvercorp Metals. United Utilities is entity of United Kingdom More

United Utilities Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure United Utilities' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess United Utilities Group upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

United Utilities Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for United Utilities' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as United Utilities' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use United Utilities historical prices to predict the future United Utilities' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
969.43970.82972.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
960.89962.281,069
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
940.97942.35943.74
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.110.120.14
Details

United Utilities Backtested Returns

United Utilities owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.14, which indicates the firm had a -0.14 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. United Utilities Group exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate United Utilities' Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.09), variance of 1.88, and Coefficient Of Variation of (793.14) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of 0.0963, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, United Utilities' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding United Utilities is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, United Utilities has a negative expected return of -0.19%. Please make sure to validate United Utilities' potential upside, as well as the relationship between the rate of daily change and relative strength index , to decide if United Utilities performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.30  

Below average predictability

United Utilities Group has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between United Utilities time series from 28th of January 2025 to 12th of February 2025 and 12th of February 2025 to 27th of February 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of United Utilities price movement. The serial correlation of 0.3 indicates that nearly 30.0% of current United Utilities price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.3
Spearman Rank Test0.12
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance100.87

United Utilities lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is United Utilities stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting United Utilities' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of United Utilities returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that United Utilities has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

United Utilities regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If United Utilities stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if United Utilities stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in United Utilities stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

United Utilities Lagged Returns

When evaluating United Utilities' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of United Utilities stock have on its future price. United Utilities autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, United Utilities autocorrelation shows the relationship between United Utilities stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in United Utilities Group.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in United Stock

United Utilities financial ratios help investors to determine whether United Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in United with respect to the benefits of owning United Utilities security.