American Pacific Mining Stock Market Value
USGDF Stock | USD 0.12 0.01 7.69% |
Symbol | American |
American Pacific 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to American Pacific's otc stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of American Pacific.
12/17/2024 |
| 03/17/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in American Pacific on December 17, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding American Pacific Mining or generate 0.0% return on investment in American Pacific over 90 days. American Pacific is related to or competes with Heliostar Metals, Revival Gold, Cabral Gold, Cassiar Gold, Radisson Mining, Asante Gold, and Independence Gold. American Pacific Mining Corp., a gold exploration company, engages in the exploration and development of mineral propert... More
American Pacific Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure American Pacific's otc stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess American Pacific Mining upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
Information Ratio | 0.0063 | |||
Maximum Drawdown | 26.79 | |||
Value At Risk | (7.69) | |||
Potential Upside | 13.33 |
American Pacific Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for American Pacific's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as American Pacific's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use American Pacific historical prices to predict the future American Pacific's volatility.Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.0005) | |||
Jensen Alpha | (0.05) | |||
Total Risk Alpha | 0.6717 | |||
Treynor Ratio | (0.32) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of American Pacific's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
American Pacific Mining Backtested Returns
American Pacific Mining secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0108, which signifies that the company had a -0.0108 % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. American Pacific Mining exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm American Pacific's risk adjusted performance of (0.0005), and Mean Deviation of 3.74 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.23, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, American Pacific's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding American Pacific is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, American Pacific Mining has a negative expected return of -0.0666%. Please make sure to confirm American Pacific's total risk alpha, daily balance of power, relative strength index, as well as the relationship between the potential upside and day typical price , to decide if American Pacific Mining performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | -0.37 |
Poor reverse predictability
American Pacific Mining has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between American Pacific time series from 17th of December 2024 to 31st of January 2025 and 31st of January 2025 to 17th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of American Pacific Mining price movement. The serial correlation of -0.37 indicates that just about 37.0% of current American Pacific price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient | -0.37 | |
Spearman Rank Test | -0.5 | |
Residual Average | 0.0 | |
Price Variance | 0.0 |
American Pacific Mining lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is American Pacific otc stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting American Pacific's otc stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of American Pacific returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that American Pacific has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the otc stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
Timeline |
American Pacific regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If American Pacific otc stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if American Pacific otc stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in American Pacific otc stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
Timeline |
American Pacific Lagged Returns
When evaluating American Pacific's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of American Pacific otc stock have on its future price. American Pacific autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, American Pacific autocorrelation shows the relationship between American Pacific otc stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in American Pacific Mining.
Regressed Prices |
Timeline |
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Other Information on Investing in American OTC Stock
American Pacific financial ratios help investors to determine whether American OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in American with respect to the benefits of owning American Pacific security.