WDAY 38 01 APR 32 Market Value

98138HAJ0   87.28  2.98  3.30%   
98138HAJ0's market value is the price at which a share of 98138HAJ0 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of WDAY 38 01 APR 32 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of WDAY 38 01 APR 32 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 98138HAJ0 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 98138HAJ0 Correlation, 98138HAJ0 Volatility and 98138HAJ0 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 98138HAJ0.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 98138HAJ0's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 98138HAJ0 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 98138HAJ0's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

98138HAJ0 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 98138HAJ0's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 98138HAJ0.
0.00
12/11/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
01/10/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 98138HAJ0 on December 11, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding WDAY 38 01 APR 32 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 98138HAJ0 over 30 days. 98138HAJ0 is related to or competes with Inhibrx, Cheesecake Factory, Ballys Corp, Boyd Gaming, BioNTech, RCI Hospitality, and Park Hotels. More

98138HAJ0 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 98138HAJ0's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess WDAY 38 01 APR 32 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

98138HAJ0 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 98138HAJ0's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 98138HAJ0's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 98138HAJ0 historical prices to predict the future 98138HAJ0's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
86.5487.2888.02
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
69.9670.7096.01
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
85.1385.8786.61
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
86.5590.2093.85
Details

WDAY 38 01 Backtested Returns

WDAY 38 01 retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.17, which signifies that the bond had a -0.17% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. 98138HAJ0 exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 98138HAJ0's Coefficient Of Variation of (724.48), risk adjusted performance of (0.11), and Variance of 0.6924 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.1, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, 98138HAJ0's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding 98138HAJ0 is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.56  

Modest predictability

WDAY 38 01 APR 32 has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 98138HAJ0 time series from 11th of December 2024 to 26th of December 2024 and 26th of December 2024 to 10th of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of WDAY 38 01 price movement. The serial correlation of 0.56 indicates that roughly 56.0% of current 98138HAJ0 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.56
Spearman Rank Test0.66
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.28

WDAY 38 01 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 98138HAJ0 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 98138HAJ0's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 98138HAJ0 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 98138HAJ0 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

98138HAJ0 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 98138HAJ0 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 98138HAJ0 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 98138HAJ0 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

98138HAJ0 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 98138HAJ0's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 98138HAJ0 bond have on its future price. 98138HAJ0 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 98138HAJ0 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 98138HAJ0 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in WDAY 38 01 APR 32.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 98138HAJ0 Bond

98138HAJ0 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 98138HAJ0 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 98138HAJ0 with respect to the benefits of owning 98138HAJ0 security.