Virgin Media Communications Market Value

92769VAJ8   86.35  0.60  0.70%   
Virgin's market value is the price at which a share of Virgin trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Virgin Media Communications investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Virgin Media Communications and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Virgin over a given investment horizon.
Check out Virgin Correlation, Virgin Volatility and Virgin Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Virgin.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Virgin's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Virgin is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Virgin's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Virgin 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Virgin's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Virgin.
0.00
11/03/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/03/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Virgin on November 3, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Virgin Media Communications or generate 0.0% return on investment in Virgin over 30 days. Virgin is related to or competes with Franklin Street, MYR, Live Ventures, RBC Bearings, United Homes, Griffon, and Chart Industries. More

Virgin Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Virgin's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Virgin Media Communications upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Virgin Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Virgin's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Virgin's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Virgin historical prices to predict the future Virgin's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
85.8286.3586.88
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
70.6271.1594.99
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
85.4685.9986.52
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
82.8785.2087.53
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Virgin. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Virgin's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Virgin's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Virgin Media Communi.

Virgin Media Communi Backtested Returns

At this point, Virgin is very steady. Virgin Media Communi owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0147, which indicates the bond had a 0.0147% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Virgin Media Communications, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the bond. Please validate Virgin's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0123, semi deviation of 2.19, and Coefficient Of Variation of 14028.96 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0078%. The entity has a beta of -0.38, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Virgin are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Virgin is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.30  

Below average predictability

Virgin Media Communications has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Virgin time series from 3rd of November 2024 to 18th of November 2024 and 18th of November 2024 to 3rd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Virgin Media Communi price movement. The serial correlation of 0.3 indicates that nearly 30.0% of current Virgin price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.3
Spearman Rank Test0.22
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.09

Virgin Media Communi lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Virgin bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Virgin's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Virgin returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Virgin has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Virgin regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Virgin bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Virgin bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Virgin bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Virgin Lagged Returns

When evaluating Virgin's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Virgin bond have on its future price. Virgin autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Virgin autocorrelation shows the relationship between Virgin bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Virgin Media Communications.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Virgin Bond

Virgin financial ratios help investors to determine whether Virgin Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Virgin with respect to the benefits of owning Virgin security.